Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	133 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (11 Aug 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	133 km/h	0.3 m	272 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	151 km/h	0.7 m	1071 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	652

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	10 Aug 2020 18:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	11 Aug 2020 00:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico
10	11 Aug 2020 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	11 Aug 2020 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	11 Aug 2020 18:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

1071 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	14,114,172

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	197	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	192	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	10 Aug 2020 18:00	217	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	11 Aug 2020 00:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	11 Aug 2020 06:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	11 Aug 2020 12:00	204	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	11 Aug 2020 18:00	729	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Aug 2020 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Molino	Mexico	0.3
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.3
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.3
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.3
	11 Aug 2020 21:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.3
	11 Aug 2020 21:45	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.3
	11 Aug 2020 21:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 22:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 23:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 18:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 18:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 18:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:15	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 18:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 18:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 18:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:15	Marquelia	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:15	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 18:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Estes	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Rockport	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Shell Ridge	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:15	Copala	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	El Papayo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 18:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Nuxco	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Acapulco	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 21:45	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 21:45	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:30	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:30	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 21:45	La Tuza	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:15	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:15	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	La Redonda	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 19:15	Aguaje	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Paso Hondo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Tlachicon	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Bajos de Chila	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Puerto Escondido	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Chagues	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:45	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:00	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Maudlowe	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Tivoli	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Spanish Village	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Austwell	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	North Seadrift	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Long Mott	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Seadrift	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 23:30	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 22:30	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.