Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
18 Jan 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (18 Jan 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 17 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 76 km/h 0.3 m 785 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jan 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Jan 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia147,918
+
Indonesia2,587 
Papua New Guinea136,520 
Australia8,811 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia454,374
+
Indonesia28,799 
Papua New Guinea357,392 
Australia68,183 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jan 2021 12:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 00:00 19 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 20 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Jan 2021 00:00 675 150 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Coolbie, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2021 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jan 2021 07:15 Coolbie Australia  0.3
18 Jan 2021 07:15 Mutarnee Australia  0.3
18 Jan 2021 07:15 Halifax Australia  0.3
18 Jan 2021 07:15 Cassady Australia  0.3
18 Jan 2021 07:00 Lucinda Australia  0.3
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Kinduro Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:30 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:30 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Cardwell Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 00:45 Deeral Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 00:45 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 00:45 Innisfail Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 08:00 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 08:00 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 08:00 Townsville Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 08:00 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
19 Jan 2021 16:30 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:30 Saibai Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:30 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:30 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:30 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:15 Cluden Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:15 Oolbun Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 06:30 Soeam Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:00 Dauan Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 06:30 Karumba Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:30 Boigu Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:30 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 06:00 Heits Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:30 Alva Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:15 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:15 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:15 Cairns Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:15 Kamma Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:15 Banana Pocket Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:15 Lethebrook Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:15 Conway Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:15 Midgeton Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 15:30 Carstairs Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 15:30 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 15:30 Rita Island Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 12:30 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 12:30 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1