Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

13 May 2021 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, India, Maldives
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (13 May 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	65 km/h	0.4 m	345 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	122 km/h	3.1 m	1400 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

Up to 310 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, India, Maldives	314,002	+
	Afghanistan	2,125
	India	285,785
	Maldives	26,091

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	13 May 2021 12:00	122	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, India, Maldives

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	51,518
100-250 mm	India	39,911,520
50-100 mm	India, Nepal, Sri Lanka	14,842,607	+
	India	14,445,514
	Nepal	1,353
	Sri Lanka	395,739

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	13 May 2021 12:00	664	40 million				-	-	-	India, Nepal, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 13 May 2021 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	13 May 2021 20:45	New Kandla	India	0.4
	13 May 2021 20:45	Navlakhi	India	0.4
	13 May 2021 20:30	Kambhat	India	0.4
	13 May 2021 20:30	Kavi	India	0.4
	13 May 2021 20:30	Sarod	India	0.4
	13 May 2021 20:15	Tuna	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 20:30	Wadgam	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 20:15	Tankari	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 20:15	Jodiya	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 19:45	Jambura	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 18:00	Akri	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:45	Dahej	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:45	Harinagar	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:45	Hansot	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 17:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:45	Thoothukkudi	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:45	Melmandai	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:45	Vembar	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 19:30	Asarsa	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 22:00	Muler	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:30	Ghogha	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:00	Bhagva	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:00	Damka	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 21:00	Olpad	India	0.3
	13 May 2021 19:30	Mundra	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 18:30	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 18:30	Sika	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:45	Surat	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:45	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:45	Mahuver	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 18:45	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 18:45	Salaya	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 19:15	Navinal	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:15	Nausari	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:15	Navsari	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 19:30	Dharasana	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 19:30	Valsad	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 19:30	Bilimora	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 18:30	Aramda	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:15	Honavar	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:15	Manki	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 18:30	Bhadia	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 22:45	Kotada	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 15:00	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.2
	13 May 2021 15:00	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.2
	13 May 2021 22:15	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 22:15	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 22:15	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 22:15	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 22:15	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 17:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:15	Bainduru	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:15	Chittadi	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 17:45	Mandvi	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:00	Shirali	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:00	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 17:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 17:15	Okha	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 16:15	Keti	Pakistan	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:15	Kundapura	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 14:30	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.2
	13 May 2021 22:15	Mahuva	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:30	Mavalli	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 00:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 00:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 16:30	Jhol	Pakistan	0.2
	13 May 2021 19:45	Udvada	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 18:45	Maroli	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 18:45	Daman	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 14:15	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.2
	13 May 2021 14:15	Gadani	Pakistan	0.2
	13 May 2021 15:00	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.2
	13 May 2021 21:00	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 21:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 21:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 23:30	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:45	Sikkal	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:45	Kilakarai	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:45	Muttupettai	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:45	Panalkkulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 00:00	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.2
	14 May 2021 00:00	Ormara	Pakistan	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	13 May 2021 20:45	Irumeni	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 21:45	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	13 May 2021 20:45	Kayalpatnam	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 18:30	Gholvad	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 18:30	Malyan	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 18:30	Bordi	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 18:30	Umbargam	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:15	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:15	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Nalasopara	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Agashi	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Dongri	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Vasai	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Navghar	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 14:30	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:00	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 20:45	Ankola	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 20:00	Udipi	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 22:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:45	Dwarka	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 21:00	Belekeri	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 20:15	Karwar	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 19:45	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.1
	13 May 2021 14:15	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 14:15	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 14:30	Pasni	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 14:30	Miski	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 20:15	Mulki	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:45	Madhi	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:45	Bhogat	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:00	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:00	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	13 May 2021 18:00	Tarapur	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 18:00	Sakhare	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 16:15	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Gurdim	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Guraim	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Dorri	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Pozm Tiab	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Machan	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Konarak	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 20:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.1
	13 May 2021 20:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	13 May 2021 16:00	Malan	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Beypore	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Tanur	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 21:30	Pomparippu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	13 May 2021 19:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 19:30	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Palghar	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Mahim	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:45	Boisar	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:45	Lamba	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Tis	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Chah Bahar	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Ahmadizeh	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:45	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:30	Malad	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 17:30	Trombay	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 16:00	Kereti	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 16:00	Khowr Rapch	Iran	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Madayi	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Cannanore	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Edakkad	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:00	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 23:15	Madayipara	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:45	Miyani	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 20:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Akara	Pakistan	0.1
	13 May 2021 15:30	Gwadar	Pakistan	0.1

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