Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (29 Jun 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.2 m 156 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico18,134 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

750 mm

Up to 290 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico288,830 
50-100 mmMexico, United States7,959,668
+
Mexico7,884,896 
United States74,772 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 205 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 183 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 193 50 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 222 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 181 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 177 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 103 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 363 290 thousand
- - - - Mexico, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Nadeau, United States. This height is estimated for 29 Jun 2021 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Nadeau United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Texas City United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Virginia Point United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Galveston United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 02:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 03:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 04:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 04:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 04:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 07:30 Matagorda United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 07:30 Chinquapin United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 18:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 18:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Point Comfort United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Olivia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Weedhaven United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Port Alto United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Carancahua United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 07:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Mims United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Hoskins United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Port Morris United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Sea Isle United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Hitchcock United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 18:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 18:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 18:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Indianola United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 06:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 19:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 19:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 19:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 19:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 17:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 18:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 10:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 22:15 Rockport United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 22:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 22:15 Copano Village United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 22:15 Fulton United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 22:15 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 22:15 Lamar United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 09:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 19:15 Chola Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 10:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 00:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 00:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 07:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 08:45 Maudlowe United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 08:45 Tivoli United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 08:45 Spanish Village United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 08:45 Austwell United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 08:45 North Seadrift United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 08:45 Long Mott United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 08:45 Seadrift United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 10:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 Palacios United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 Collegeport United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 Simpsonville United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 13:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 22:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 22:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 22:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 22:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 23:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 23:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 23:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 01:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 00:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 19:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 19:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 North Beach United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Gardendale United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Doyle United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Portland United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Gregory United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 23:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 03:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:45 Estes United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 09:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 09:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 18:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 02:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 22:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 18:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 07:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 13:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 22:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 11:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 10:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 10:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:30 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:30 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:30 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 09:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:45 Bayside United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 04:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Gulf Park United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Freeport United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Quintana United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Surfside United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 04:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 04:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:30 Port Mansfield United States  0.1