Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (03 Aug 11:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 50 km/h 0.7 m 85 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 0.8 m 613 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Aug 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Aug 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Aug 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Aug 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 586 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Aug 2021 18:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Aug 2021 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 03 Aug 2021 06:00 62 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 03 Aug 2021 12:00 85 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 11:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico699 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2021 11:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.8
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.5
03 Aug 2021 15:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 22:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 16:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 16:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 14:00 Monteon Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 14:00 La Lima Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Novillero Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 15:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 15:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 02:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 02:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 01:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 06:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 02:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 02:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Barron Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 04:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 02:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 16:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 02:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 02:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 03:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 00:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 15:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 18:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:15 Chamela Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Chola Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 04:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 17:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 18:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 18:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 18:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 02:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 02:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 02:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 02:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 13:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 00:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 23:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 04:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1