Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NORA-21
in Mexico
28 Aug 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORA-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (29 Aug 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.4 m 215 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 86 km/h 0.5 m 838 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

86 km/h

Up to 140 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico139,702 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Aug 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Aug 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 26 Aug 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 27 Aug 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 27 Aug 2021 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Aug 2021 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico508,908 
100-250 mmMexico3,575,806 
50-100 mmMexico5,010,496 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Aug 2021 00:00 175 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 2 25 Aug 2021 12:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 26 Aug 2021 00:00 597 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 664 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 27 Aug 2021 00:00 218 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 27 Aug 2021 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 28 Aug 2021 00:00 515 4.1 million
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Santa Cruz, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2021 08:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Aug 2021 08:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 08:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 09:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.4
28 Aug 2021 19:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 08:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
31 Aug 2021 00:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 08:00 San Blas Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 04:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Chola Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 02:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 02:00 Ipala Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 02:45 Corrales Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 20:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 09:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 04:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 02:45 Pizota Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 04:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 14:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 07:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 19:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 12:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:30 Chamela Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 00:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 00:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 00:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 00:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 19:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 08:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 08:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 02:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:45 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 00:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 05:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:45 La Playa Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 00:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 03:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 08:30 El Tule Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 08:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 00:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:45 Barron Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 01:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 01:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 12:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 02:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 09:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 09:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 14:15 Santiago Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 14:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 07:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 10:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 03:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 00:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 04:00 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 23:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 12:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 22:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 16:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 11:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 11:15 El Marques Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 02:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 14:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 21:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 20:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 20:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 00:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 03:45 Apisa Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 09:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
28 Aug 2021 09:30 Boal United States  0.1
28 Aug 2021 07:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 09:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 21:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 02:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 05:15 Coronado United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 21:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 16:00 San Diego United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 09:15 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 09:15 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 11:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:30 Azure Vista United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:30 Roseville United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:30 Loma Portal United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 22:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:00 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Mission Beach United States  0.1
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 08:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1