Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NORA-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORA-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (29 Aug 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 119 km/h 0.3 m 1610 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 1646 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

137 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico535 
Tropical StormMexico2,195,355 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Aug 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 26 Aug 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 26 Aug 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Aug 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 27 Aug 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 27 Aug 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Aug 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Aug 2021 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 28 Aug 2021 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 11 28 Aug 2021 06:00 112 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 12 28 Aug 2021 12:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 13 28 Aug 2021 18:00 137 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 14 29 Aug 2021 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 29 Aug 2021 06:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 29 Aug 2021 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 29 Aug 2021 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmMexico14,426 
750-1000 mmMexico15,380 
500-750 mmMexico17,681 
250-500 mmMexico954,976 
100-250 mmMexico3,347,427 
50-100 mmMexico3,389,253 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Aug 2021 18:00 289 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 26 Aug 2021 00:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 26 Aug 2021 06:00 488 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 413 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Aug 2021 18:00 318 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 27 Aug 2021 00:00 363 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 27 Aug 2021 06:00 391 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Aug 2021 12:00 193 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 27 Aug 2021 18:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 28 Aug 2021 00:00 143 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 28 Aug 2021 06:00 179 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Blue 12 28 Aug 2021 12:00 220 130 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 13 28 Aug 2021 18:00 363 360 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 14 29 Aug 2021 00:00 340 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 15 29 Aug 2021 06:00 445 140 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 16 29 Aug 2021 12:00 399 280 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 17 29 Aug 2021 18:00 1610 1.3 million
Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Cuantla, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2021 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mMexico8,482 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico44,481 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Aug 2021 14:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.7
29 Aug 2021 13:30 Novillero Mexico  0.7
29 Aug 2021 07:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.5
29 Aug 2021 07:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.5
29 Aug 2021 14:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.5
28 Aug 2021 02:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.5
29 Aug 2021 13:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 07:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 13:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 07:15 San Blas Mexico  0.4
28 Aug 2021 21:15 Chola Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 07:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 13:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 19:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:00 Monteon Mexico  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:00 La Lima Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 13:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.3
27 Aug 2021 15:15 El Tule Mexico  0.3
27 Aug 2021 15:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.3
28 Aug 2021 18:15 Chamela Mexico  0.3
28 Aug 2021 18:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 00:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.3
27 Aug 2021 22:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.3
28 Aug 2021 23:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 03:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Santiago Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 19:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 19:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:00 Ipala Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 21:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 09:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 13:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 17:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 17:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 23:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 15:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 18:00 Santa Marie Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 00:15 Pizota Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 17:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 08:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 21:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 19:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 19:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 01:45 La Choya Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 19:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.2
01 Sep 2021 09:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:15 Corrales Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 18:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 14:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 01:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 18:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 13:00 Barron Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 12:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 01:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 21:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 01:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 23:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 11:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 12:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 11:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 01:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 01:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:30 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 19:15 Chula Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 19:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 21:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 20:45 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 20:45 Apisa Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 11:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 00:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 00:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 18:00 El Real Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 17:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 01:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 14:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 06:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:00 San Diego United States  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Coronado United States  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Imperial Beach United States  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Boal United States  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:45 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 22:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 19:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:15 San Telmo Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 19:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.2
28 Aug 2021 18:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 08:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 17:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 16:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Azure Vista United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Roseville United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Loma Portal United States  0.1
26 Aug 2021 20:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 06:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:30 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:30 El Marques Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:45 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 11:45 Calvario Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 11:45 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 05:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 05:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:30 La Playa Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 00:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 13:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:30 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 15:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 22:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 09:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 La Mision Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 12:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2021 18:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:30 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:00 Mission Beach United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:00 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 01:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 01:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 22:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 07:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 07:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 01:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1