Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
26 Oct 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (27 Oct 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.7 m 218 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.7 m 471 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

162 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico27,825 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Oct 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Oct 2021 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 25 Oct 2021 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 25 Oct 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 25 Oct 2021 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Oct 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 26 Oct 2021 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 26 Oct 2021 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Oct 2021 12:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Oct 2021 00:00 249 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 25 Oct 2021 06:00 215 180 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 12 25 Oct 2021 12:00 81 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 25 Oct 2021 18:00 59 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 14 26 Oct 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 26 Oct 2021 06:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 26 Oct 2021 12:00 371 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Holly Beach, United States. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2021 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Oct 2021 19:15 Holly Beach United States  0.7
27 Oct 2021 19:15 Cameron United States  0.7
27 Oct 2021 19:15 Constance Beach United States  0.6
27 Oct 2021 19:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.6
27 Oct 2021 19:15 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.6
27 Oct 2021 18:30 Sabine United States  0.5
27 Oct 2021 18:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.5
27 Oct 2021 17:45 Beach City United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:45 Smith Point United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:45 Oak Island United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:45 Anahuac United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:30 Cedar Point United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:45 High Island United States  0.3
28 Oct 2021 20:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
28 Oct 2021 20:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Caplen United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Gilchrist United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Carancahua United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 13:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Palacios United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Collegeport United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Simpsonville United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.3
28 Oct 2021 20:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Red Bluff United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Seabrook United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Morgan Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Baytown United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Pelly United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 03:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 03:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Patton United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Sixmile United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Point Comfort United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Olivia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Weedhaven United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Port Alto United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 23:45 El Martillo United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 23:45 Yarborough United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:15 Estes United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:15 Rockport United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:15 Copano Village United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:15 Fulton United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:15 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:15 Lamar United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:00 Flake United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Fort Travis United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Webster United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Kilkare United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Lakeside United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 La Porte United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 El Lago United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Kemah United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Shoreacres United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Todville United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Bayview United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Bacliff United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:30 San Leon United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 04:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 04:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
29 Oct 2021 09:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:15 Nadeau United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:15 Texas City United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:15 Virginia Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:15 Galveston United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 10:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 10:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 10:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 10:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 10:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
29 Oct 2021 09:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
29 Oct 2021 08:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
29 Oct 2021 08:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 16:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
29 Oct 2021 09:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 17:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 17:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 17:45 La Majada Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Maudlowe United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Tivoli United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Spanish Village United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Austwell United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Seadrift United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Indianola United States  0.1
28 Oct 2021 01:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 01:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 01:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 07:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 07:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 07:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 07:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 07:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 07:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 07:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 07:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:15 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:15 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:15 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 12:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 15:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 21:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 02:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 08:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 22:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 16:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 16:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Matagorda United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Chinquapin United States  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 16:45 Conejo Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 North Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Doyle United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Portland United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Gregory United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 09:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Quintana United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Surfside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Mims United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 08:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2021 08:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2021 08:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2021 08:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Gulf Park United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Freeport United States  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 07:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2021 09:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1