Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico
07 Aug 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (07 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.3 m 221 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.6 m 427 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States83 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico28,526 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico3,304,852
+
United States378,832 
Mexico2,926,020 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 292 30 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Aug 2022 18:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2022 18:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2022 13:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2022 15:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 17:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 16:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 16:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 16:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 16:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 16:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 16:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 15:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 13:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 17:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 16:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 14:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2022 18:00 Sixmile United States  0.2
07 Aug 2022 18:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
07 Aug 2022 18:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
07 Aug 2022 18:00 Point Comfort United States  0.2
07 Aug 2022 18:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
07 Aug 2022 18:00 Olivia United States  0.2
07 Aug 2022 18:00 Weedhaven United States  0.2
07 Aug 2022 18:00 Port Alto United States  0.2
07 Aug 2022 14:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 San Pedro United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Wilmington United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Signal Hill United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Surfside United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Seal Beach United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:30 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:30 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 13:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Muir Beach United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Kentfield United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Mill Valley United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Larkspur United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Almonte United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Green Brae United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Marin City United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Strawberry United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Corte Madera United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Sunset District United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Sausalito United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Edgemar United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 San Quentin United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Broadmoor United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Stonestown United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Richmond District United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Daly City United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Tiburon United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Belvedere United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Colma United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Baden United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Little Osaka United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 San Francisco United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Bayshore United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 South San Francisco United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 North Beach United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Brisbane United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Bayview District United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 North Richmond United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Richmond United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 San Pablo United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 Stege United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:15 East Richmond Heights United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Beach City United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Smith Point United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Oak Island United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Anahuac United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Cedar Point United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Morgan's Point United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Bayview United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Red Bluff United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Seabrook United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Morgan Point United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Baytown United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Pelly United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:15 Port San Luis United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:15 Avila Beach United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:15 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:15 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:15 Oceano United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:15 Grover City United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 16:15 Callender United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:45 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:45 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:45 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:45 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Webster United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Clear Lake City United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Nassau Bay United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Kilkare United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Lakeside United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Taylor Lake United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 La Porte United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 El Lago United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Kemah United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Shoreacres United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Bayside Terrace United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Todville United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Bacliff United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 San Leon United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Newport Beach United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Bay Shores United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Montecito United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Summerland United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Serena Park United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Carpinteria United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Rincon United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Shepards United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Punta United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Faria United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Dulah United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 13:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 13:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:30 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Nadeau United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Texas City United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 12:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Ventura United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:45 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:45 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
07 Aug 2022 17:45 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
07 Aug 2022 14:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 13:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
07 Aug 2022 15:45 Oxnard United States  0.1