Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (08 Aug 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 0.2 m 208 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.6 m 427 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States03 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico29,625 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala3,812,374
+
United States887,020 
Mexico2,386,556 
Guatemala538,797 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 221 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 153 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 425 30 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Aug 2022 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Aug 2022 14:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 12:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 16:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 14:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 12:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 12:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 12:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 12:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2022 12:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 15:30 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
08 Aug 2022 15:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
08 Aug 2022 15:30 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
08 Aug 2022 15:15 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
08 Aug 2022 15:15 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 17:45 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
08 Aug 2022 17:45 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
08 Aug 2022 17:45 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Beach City United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Smith Point United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Oak Island United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Anahuac United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Cedar Point United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Morgan's Point United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Bayview United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Red Bluff United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Seabrook United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Morgan Point United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Baytown United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Pelly United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 14:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 14:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 13:15 San Pedro United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 13:15 Wilmington United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 13:15 Signal Hill United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 13:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 13:15 Surfside United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 13:15 Seal Beach United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 13:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 13:15 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Muir Beach United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Kentfield United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Mill Valley United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Larkspur United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Almonte United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Green Brae United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Marin City United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Strawberry United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Corte Madera United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Sunset District United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Sausalito United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Edgemar United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 San Quentin United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Broadmoor United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Stonestown United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Richmond District United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Daly City United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Tiburon United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Belvedere United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Colma United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Baden United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Little Osaka United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 San Francisco United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Bayshore United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 South San Francisco United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 North Beach United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Brisbane United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Bayview District United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 North Richmond United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Richmond United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 San Pablo United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Stege United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 East Richmond Heights United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 14:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Webster United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Clear Lake City United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Nassau Bay United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Kilkare United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Lakeside United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Taylor Lake United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 La Porte United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 El Lago United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Kemah United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Shoreacres United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Bayside Terrace United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Todville United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Bacliff United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 San Leon United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Bayside United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Estes United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Rockport United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Fulton United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Lamar United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 18:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Nadeau United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Texas City United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 15:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 18:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 12:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2022 18:00 Ocos Guatemala  0.1