Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico
11 Aug 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (11 Aug 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.4 m 112 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.6 m 427 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Aug 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Aug 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 Aug 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Aug 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 11 Aug 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico12,614
+
United States17 
Mexico12,596 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala6,335,133
+
United States45,015 
Mexico4,097,311 
Guatemala2,192,806 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 221 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 153 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 130 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 103 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 123 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Aug 2022 12:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Aug 2022 18:00 74 -
- - - - - United States, Guatemala
Blue 19 11 Aug 2022 00:00 78 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 20 11 Aug 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 21 11 Aug 2022 12:00 217 10 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Aug 2022 15:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Aug 2022 15:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4
11 Aug 2022 15:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
11 Aug 2022 15:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2022 15:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2022 14:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2022 16:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2022 15:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Molino Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 17:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 17:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 15:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 14:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 16:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 15:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Port San Luis United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Avila Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Oceano United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Grover City United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Callender United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 12:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 12:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 17:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 17:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 17:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 17:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 12:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 12:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 14:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 12:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Muir Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Kentfield United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Mill Valley United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Larkspur United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Almonte United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Green Brae United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Marin City United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Strawberry United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Corte Madera United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Sunset District United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Sausalito United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Edgemar United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 San Quentin United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Broadmoor United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Stonestown United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Richmond District United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Daly City United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Tiburon United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Belvedere United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Colma United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Baden United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Little Osaka United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 San Francisco United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Bayshore United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 South San Francisco United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 North Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Brisbane United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Bayview District United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 North Richmond United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Richmond United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 San Pablo United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 Stege United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:15 East Richmond Heights United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 15:30 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 16:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 12:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 12:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 12:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1