Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 Aug 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.5 m 125 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.6 m 427 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala830,579
+
Mexico91,330 
Guatemala739,248 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala7,309,676
+
United States226,552 
Mexico4,041,195 
Guatemala3,041,928 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 221 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 153 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 130 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 103 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 123 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 380 830 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Aug 2022 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Aug 2022 07:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2022 07:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2022 07:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2022 08:15 La Choya Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2022 08:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2022 11:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2022 11:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2022 09:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 07:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 07:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 10:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Molino Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 10:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 10:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 10:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2022 10:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Estes United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Rockport United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Copano Village United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Fulton United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Lamar United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Flake United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Oak Island United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Elmgrove United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Patton United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Caplen United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Gilchrist United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Smith Point United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 11:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 San Pedro United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Wilmington United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Signal Hill United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Surfside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Seal Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Beach City United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Anahuac United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 The Muirlands United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Azure Vista United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Mission Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Easter Cross United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Roseville United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Loma Portal United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 San Diego United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Coronado United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 Boal United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 06:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:00 Sixmile United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:00 Olivia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Cedar Point United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Muir Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Kentfield United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Mill Valley United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Larkspur United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Almonte United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Green Brae United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Marin City United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Strawberry United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Corte Madera United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Sunset District United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Sausalito United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Edgemar United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 San Quentin United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Broadmoor United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Stonestown United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Richmond District United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Daly City United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Tiburon United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Belvedere United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Colma United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Baden United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Little Osaka United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 San Francisco United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Bayshore United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 South San Francisco United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 North Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Brisbane United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Bayview District United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 North Richmond United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Richmond United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 San Pablo United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 Stege United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 East Richmond Heights United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Morgan's Point United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Bayview United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Red Bluff United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Seabrook United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Morgan Point United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Baytown United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Pelly United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Bayside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 10:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 09:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Rincon United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Shepards United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Punta United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Faria United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Dulah United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Ventura United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2022 08:45 Oxnard United States  0.1