Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico
11 Aug 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (11 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 47 km/h 0.2 m 66 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.6 m 427 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Aug 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Aug 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 Aug 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Aug 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 11 Aug 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 11 Aug 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala6,390
+
Mexico2,891 
Guatemala3,498 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala7,995,304
+
United States326,953 
Mexico5,610,046 
Guatemala2,058,304 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 221 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 153 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 130 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 103 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 123 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Aug 2022 12:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Aug 2022 18:00 74 -
- - - - - United States, Guatemala
Blue 19 11 Aug 2022 00:00 78 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 20 11 Aug 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 21 11 Aug 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 11 Aug 2022 18:00 244 6 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Aug 2022 18:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 18:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 19:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 22:30 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 22:30 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 22:30 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 22:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 19:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 23:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 19:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2022 00:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2022 00:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 19:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 19:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 19:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 22:45 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 22:45 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 22:45 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 22:15 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 23:30 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 19:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 18:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1