Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico
09 Aug 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 112 km/h 0.4 m 102 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.6 m 427 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico215
+
United States152 
Mexico63 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala392,205
+
United States62 
Mexico157,356 
Guatemala234,786 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala6,055,778
+
United States415,581 
Mexico3,408,879 
Guatemala2,231,316 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 221 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 153 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 130 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 103 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 388 390 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2022 18:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4
09 Aug 2022 18:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
09 Aug 2022 17:30 La Choya Mexico  0.4
09 Aug 2022 17:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
09 Aug 2022 18:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Muir Beach United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Kentfield United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Mill Valley United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Larkspur United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Almonte United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Green Brae United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Marin City United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Strawberry United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Corte Madera United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Sunset District United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Sausalito United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Edgemar United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 San Quentin United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Broadmoor United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Paradise Cay United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Stonestown United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Richmond District United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Daly City United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Tiburon United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Belvedere United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Colma United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Baden United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Little Osaka United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Fort McDowell United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 San Francisco United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Bayshore United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 South San Francisco United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 North Beach United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Brisbane United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Bayview District United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 North Richmond United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Richmond United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 San Pablo United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Stege United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 East Richmond Heights United States  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2022 13:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 12:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 12:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 12:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 14:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Port San Luis United States  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Avila Beach United States  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Sycamore Springs United States  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Pismo Beach United States  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Oceano United States  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Grover City United States  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Callender United States  0.2
09 Aug 2022 14:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Molino Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 12:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 12:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 17:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 17:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Stinson Beach United States  0.2
09 Aug 2022 15:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2022 14:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 14:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 San Pedro United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Wilmington United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Signal Hill United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Surfside United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Seal Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 14:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Beach City United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Smith Point United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Oak Island United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Anahuac United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Cedar Point United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 14:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 18:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Morgan's Point United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Bayview United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Red Bluff United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Seabrook United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Morgan Point United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Baytown United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Pelly United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 La Playa Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Woodville United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:15 Bolinas United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 14:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Newport Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Bay Shores United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Mission United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Montecito United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Summerland United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Serena Park United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Carpinteria United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Rincon United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Shepards United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Punta United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Webster United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Clear Lake City United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Nassau Bay United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Kilkare United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Lakeside United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Taylor Lake United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 La Porte United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 El Lago United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Kemah United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Shoreacres United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Bayside Terrace United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Todville United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Bacliff United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 San Leon United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Isla Vista United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Goleta United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 17:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Faria United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Dulah United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Ventura United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Oxnard United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:30 Tripui Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 17:00 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 17:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 The Muirlands United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Easter Cross United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Roseville United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 San Diego United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Coronado United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Boal United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Carmel United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Monterey United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Workfield United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Seaside United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Ord United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Marina United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Moss Landing United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Neponset United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Nashua United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Castroville United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Sixmile United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Olivia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Pacifica United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Westborough United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 San Bruno United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Tanforan United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:00 Millbrae United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Estes United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Fulton United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 13:15 Lamar United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Santa Cruz United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Twin Lakes United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Live Oak United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Opal Cliffs United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Capitola United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Soquel United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Aptos United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Rio del Mar United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Rob Roy Junction United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 La Selva Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Ellicott United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 12:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
09 Aug 2022 15:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 San Clemente United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Agra United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Las Flores United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Stuart United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Oceanside United States  0.1
09 Aug 2022 16:30 Carlsbad United States  0.1