Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
02 Oct 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Oct 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.2 m 213 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 0.3 m 341 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico3,294 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Oct 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Oct 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Oct 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Oct 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico337,910 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala492,541
+
Mexico456,645 
Guatemala35,896 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador4,648,334
+
Mexico1,744,826 
Guatemala2,743,649 
El Salvador159,857 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 307 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Sep 2022 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 30 Sep 2022 12:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Oct 2022 00:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Oct 2022 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Oct 2022 00:00 152 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 9 02 Oct 2022 12:00 352 830 thousand
- - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Bahia de Tortugas, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Oct 2022 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 22:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 19:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 12:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 22:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 22:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 22:30 Barron Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 22:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 22:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 22:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 21:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 22:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 16:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 12:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 07:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 07:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 13:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 11:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 11:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 02:15 City Arroyo United States  0.2
03 Oct 2022 02:15 Port Mansfield United States  0.2
03 Oct 2022 02:15 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
02 Oct 2022 13:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:00 Campeche Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 03:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 03:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 21:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:45 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 15:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 15:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 01:45 Victoria Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 01:45 Balchacah Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 04:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:45 El Roble Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 13:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 03:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 17:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:15 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 01:15 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 13:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:00 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:00 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:30 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:30 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:45 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:45 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:45 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:30 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 15:15 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 15:15 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 15:15 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Muir Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Mill Valley United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Almonte United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Marin City United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Strawberry United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Corte Madera United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Sunset District United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Sausalito United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Edgemar United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Broadmoor United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Stonestown United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Pacifica United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Richmond District United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Daly City United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Westborough United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Tiburon United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Belvedere United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Colma United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Baden United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Little Osaka United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 San Bruno United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 San Francisco United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Bayshore United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 South San Francisco United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 North Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Tanforan United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Millbrae United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Brisbane United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Bayview District United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:30 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:30 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:30 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:30 Champoton Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Port San Luis United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Avila Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Oceano United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Grover City United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Callender United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:15 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 03:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:45 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Rincon United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Shepards United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Punta United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Faria United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Dulah United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Ventura United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Summerland United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Serena Park United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Moss Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Montara United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Princeton United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 El Granada United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Miramar United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Martins Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Tunitas United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 San Gregorio United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Burlingame United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Hillsborough United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 San Mateo United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Hillsdale United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Oxnard United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:45 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:30 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:30 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Carmel United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Monterey United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Workfield United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Seaside United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Ord United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Marina United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Moss Landing United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Neponset United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Nashua United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Castroville United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 23:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:15 San Pedro United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:15 Wilmington United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:15 Signal Hill United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:15 Surfside United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:15 Seal Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 03:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 17:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Mission United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Montecito United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 18:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 18:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 17:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:45 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:30 La Avellana Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:30 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:30 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:30 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:30 Neyac Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Woodville United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Bolinas United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Kentfield United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Terra Linda United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Marinwood United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Larkspur United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Green Brae United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Gallinas United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 San Quentin United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:15 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 18:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:45 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 13:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 14:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 18:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 18:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 18:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1