Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MORA-17
in Bangladesh, India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MORA-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Bangladesh, Burma
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 98 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (29 May 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 98 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 56 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

126 km/h

Up to 5.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 May 2017 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh, Burma5213945
+
Bangladesh4240645 
Burma973300 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 May 2017 18:00 120 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 May 2017 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 May 2017 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 May 2017 12:00 117 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 May 2017 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 29 May 2017 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 May 2017 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 May 2017 12:00 98 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Burma




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 May 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 28 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 29 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 29 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Sandawshin, Myanmar. This height is estimated for 29 May 2017 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 May 2017 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 May 2017 21:00 Sandawshin Myanmar  1.1
29 May 2017 21:00 Myaukpyin Myanmar  1.1
29 May 2017 21:00 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  1.1
29 May 2017 21:00 Ponnagyi Myanmar  1.1
29 May 2017 21:00 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  1.1
29 May 2017 21:00 Chaunggya Myanmar  1.1
29 May 2017 21:00 Peikseik Myanmar  1.1
29 May 2017 21:00 Khamaungdwe Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 21:00 Tandin Myanmar  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Silkhali Bangladesh  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Bardeil Bangladesh  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Teknaf Bangladesh  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Sabaigon Myanmar  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  1.0
30 May 2017 02:45 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 22:00 Jaliapara Bangladesh  1.0
29 May 2017 22:00 Zawmadat Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 22:00 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 22:00 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 22:00 Hparabyin Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 22:00 Thawinchaung Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 22:00 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 21:15 Ywathitke Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 21:15 Sittwe Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 21:15 Kangyaung Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 21:15 Aindin Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 21:15 Pyaingdaung Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 21:15 Kyaukpyinseik Myanmar  0.8
30 May 2017 05:45 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 05:45 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 05:45 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 05:45 Magnama Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 05:45 Napura Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 05:45 Bethua Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 06:00 Gahira Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 06:00 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.7
29 May 2017 15:30 Kyaukiwe Myanmar  0.7
29 May 2017 15:30 Kokkabyin Myanmar  0.7
29 May 2017 15:30 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.7
29 May 2017 15:30 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.7
29 May 2017 15:30 Kyaungbyin-ok Myanmar  0.7
29 May 2017 15:30 Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.7
29 May 2017 20:15 Koyanbyin Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 20:15 Byichaung Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 20:15 Kyunthaya Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 20:15 Phapholting Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 20:15 Auktarngdshe Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 20:15 Wabawgyi Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:15 Chauklangwe Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:15 Seiktaya Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:15 Chindaung Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:15 Dokekan Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:15 Mawhun Myanmar  0.6
30 May 2017 09:15 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 09:15 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 09:15 Kumira Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 09:15 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 09:15 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 09:15 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 09:15 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 09:15 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 09:15 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Lamchhi Prasad Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.6
29 May 2017 21:45 Donbaik Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:15 Dodan Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:15 Pyindaung Myanmar  0.6
31 May 2017 03:45 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:45 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 03:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 04:30 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 04:30 Hatia Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 04:30 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 04:30 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 02:45 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 04:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.6
29 May 2017 13:30 Damathat Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 13:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 13:30 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 13:30 Zokali Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 13:30 Taungxun Myanmar  0.6
31 May 2017 04:15 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 02:45 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 02:45 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 02:45 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 02:45 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 02:45 Inani Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 02:45 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.6
29 May 2017 15:00 Taung-ywa Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 15:00 Taikkyua Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 13:45 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 13:30 Budin Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 13:30 Kadaik Myanmar  0.6
30 May 2017 03:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 03:00 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 03:00 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.6
29 May 2017 13:45 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.6
30 May 2017 02:00 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.6
29 May 2017 14:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 14:00 Mahameik Myanmar  0.6
30 May 2017 03:30 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 03:30 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 03:30 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 03:30 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 03:30 Dineshpur Bangladesh  0.5
29 May 2017 13:45 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.5
30 May 2017 02:00 Tumbru Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 13:00 Darein Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 13:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 12:45 Paung Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 14:45 Amaw Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 14:45 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 14:45 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 14:45 Temauk Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 14:45 Shwehle Myanmar  0.5
30 May 2017 04:45 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.5
29 May 2017 22:15 Kyaukpyu Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 14:00 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 12:30 Munaing Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 12:30 Tagukana Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 12:15 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 22:45 Chaung-wa Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 22:45 Kalaba Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 12:00 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.4
31 May 2017 07:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.4
31 May 2017 07:00 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.4
31 May 2017 07:00 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.4
29 May 2017 12:00 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 19:30 Leiktaung Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 12:00 Wagaru Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 12:00 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 12:00 Karokpi Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 18:45 Dublat India  0.3
29 May 2017 15:30 Gyeiktaw Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 14:15 Pyapon Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 14:15 Apaung Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 14:15 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 14:15 Ase Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 14:15 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 15:15 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 12:00 Anin Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 20:30 Thitpon Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 03:00 Awadaung Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 03:00 Kabaingchaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 15:45 Mawyen Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 08:45 Rasalpur India  0.2
29 May 2017 14:00 Sachet Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 14:45 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 01:45 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 01:45 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 01:45 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 01:45 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 01:45 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 01:45 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 01:45 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 01:45 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.2
29 May 2017 15:15 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 15:15 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 15:15 Ama Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 15:15 Tawbaing Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:15 Andin Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:15 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 18:45 Bijavbati India  0.2
29 May 2017 14:00 Meinmagwe Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Wagon Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Ledaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Payahla Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:45 Okkan Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:00 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:00 Thingangon Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 09:15 Chandipur India  0.2
29 May 2017 12:30 Chaungtaungbe Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 12:30 Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 14:30 Alandaing Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 14:30 Hseikma Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Medaw Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Tawbya Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Thedangyi Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Leiktaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Awebindat Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Sidongyaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Thechaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Kanmaw Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 08:00 Duya Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:45 Yengangyi Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 14:30 Kyeintali Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 08:00 Khawsa Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 20:15 Owa Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 14:45 Ban Map Lat Thailand  0.2
31 May 2017 14:45 Samut Songkhram Thailand  0.2
31 May 2017 14:45 Ban Bang Bo Thailand  0.2
31 May 2017 14:45 Ban Rong Kung Thailand  0.2
31 May 2017 14:45 Ban Bang Khut Thailand  0.2
31 May 2017 14:45 Samut Sakhon Thailand  0.2
29 May 2017 13:30 Tanzon Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 13:30 Kabyachaung Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 00:00 Kakinada India  0.2
30 May 2017 06:45 Puri India  0.1
30 May 2017 06:45 Balighai India  0.1
29 May 2017 13:30 Taung-pi Ywa Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 13:30 Kalonga Ywa Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Bang Pu Kao Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Tambon Khlon Dan Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 08:15 Dani-thagya Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Hua Khao Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Anghila Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Rong Khoei Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:45 Kyatchaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:45 Yedwindaung Ywa Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:45 Wadawchaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Si Racha Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Bogyiywa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Kalawni Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Si Racha Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 02:30 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 02:30 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Chon Buri Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 10:45 Konarak India  0.1
29 May 2017 14:30 Satabhaya India  0.1
30 May 2017 08:15 Kyauktwin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 08:15 Thayetchaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 08:15 Pyinbyugyi Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 08:15 Bok Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Hlem Chabang Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Ao Udom Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Kaungma Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Onbingwin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Malud India  0.1
29 May 2017 23:00 Nuliasahi India  0.1
29 May 2017 23:00 Nuagan India  0.1
29 May 2017 15:00 Satthwa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 08:45 Hukitala India  0.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Panasapada India  0.1
30 May 2017 08:00 Aukthayetchaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 15:15 Laem Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:15 Ban Bang Khun Sai Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:15 Ban Pak Tale Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:15 Ban Bang Kaeo Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Htawa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Zadi Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Nabule Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 12:00 Tharawuntaungnge Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 12:00 Sakanthit Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 12:00 Tawbyagyi Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 12:00 Ma-ainggyon Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 12:00 Kywegyaung Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 12:00 Kangyaing Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Bang Kalo Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Bang Lamung Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Bo Ta Sing Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 16:15 Nizampatam India  0.1
29 May 2017 22:15 Chittivalasa India  0.1
29 May 2017 22:15 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
29 May 2017 22:15 Konada India  0.1
31 May 2017 15:15 Ban Don Mot Tanoi Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:15 Ban Bang Dha-lu Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Pandin-in Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Pyingyi Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Maungmagan Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 12:45 Vishakhapatnam India  0.1
31 May 2017 16:00 Ban Kok San Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 06:15 Canjam India  0.1
30 May 2017 06:15 Paluru India  0.1
30 May 2017 06:15 Chatrapur India  0.1
30 May 2017 07:00 Nuralrevu India  0.1
30 May 2017 07:00 Gopalpur India  0.1
29 May 2017 14:45 Gwa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 12:00 Koyyam India  0.1
30 May 2017 12:00 Dharmavaram India  0.1
30 May 2017 12:00 Srikurman India  0.1
30 May 2017 12:45 Ammalapadu India  0.1
30 May 2017 12:45 Baruva India  0.1
29 May 2017 14:30 Zigyaing Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 14:30 Ywadegon Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 14:30 Thama Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 13:15 Ale-hman Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 15:45 Ban Na Chom Thian Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:45 Ban Amphoe Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 04:45 Pentakota India  0.1
30 May 2017 11:15 Pudimadaka India  0.1
30 May 2017 11:15 Chipurupalle India  0.1

Calculation folder at this link