Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mozambique
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 158 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.0 m (14 Mar 16:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 158 km/h 2.0 m 731 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 176 km/h 3.1 m 1256 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMozambique1022071 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Mar 2019 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Mar 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Mar 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Mar 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 11 Mar 2019 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 11 Mar 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 12 Mar 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 12 Mar 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 13 Mar 2019 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 13 Mar 2019 12:00 158 -
- - - - - Mozambique




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1256 mm

Up to 4.8 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmZimbabwe, Mozambique41060
+
Zimbabwe22246 
Mozambique18814 
250-500 mmZimbabwe, Mozambique643101
+
Zimbabwe416690 
Mozambique226411 
100-250 mmZimbabwe, Mozambique4105899
+
Zimbabwe1853883 
Mozambique2252016 
50-100 mmTanzania, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, South Africa3723202
+
Tanzania9592 
Zimbabwe2882084 
Mozambique831466 
South Africa60 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Mar 2019 12:00 721 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Mar 2019 00:00 678 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Mar 2019 12:00 764 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 919 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Mar 2019 12:00 918 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Mar 2019 00:00 725 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 11 Mar 2019 12:00 556 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 12 Mar 2019 00:00 585 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 12 Mar 2019 12:00 522 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 13 Mar 2019 00:00 548 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 13 Mar 2019 12:00 731 4.8 million
- - Tanzania, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, South Africa




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.0m in Nhangau, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 14 Mar 2019 16:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Mar 2019 16:30 Nhangau Mozambique  2.0
14 Mar 2019 16:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  2.0
14 Mar 2019 16:30 Panaca Mozambique  2.0
14 Mar 2019 16:15 Tama Mozambique  1.9
14 Mar 2019 17:00 Damiao Mozambique  1.8
14 Mar 2019 18:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  1.7
14 Mar 2019 16:15 Jonja Mozambique  1.6
14 Mar 2019 14:30 Bingue Mozambique  1.2
14 Mar 2019 19:00 Divinhe Mozambique  1.2
14 Mar 2019 19:00 Chiloane Mozambique  1.2
14 Mar 2019 11:15 Machesse Mozambique  0.9
14 Mar 2019 13:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.9
14 Mar 2019 08:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.5
14 Mar 2019 17:45 Jo Mozambique  0.5
14 Mar 2019 17:45 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.5
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.4
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.4
14 Mar 2019 17:45 Natalia Mozambique  0.3
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.3
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.3
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
14 Mar 2019 02:30 Amado Mozambique  0.3
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Mulia Mozambique  0.3
13 Mar 2019 19:15 Barra Mozambique  0.3
14 Mar 2019 21:45 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 21:45 Afonso Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 21:45 Catine Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 21:45 Caulino Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 21:45 Mariano Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 21:45 Asneira Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 15:15 Nantapa Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 15:15 Muaco Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 19:15 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 19:15 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 18:45 Beula Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 18:45 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 18:45 Mabsil Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 18:45 Marivate Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 18:45 Miramar Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 19:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 00:30 Colchester South Africa  0.2
13 Mar 2019 17:45 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 14:00 Castigo Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 15:30 Namuali Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 19:15 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 19:15 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Maguemba Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Macashale Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Macanzele Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 13:30 Mocareja Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 12:45 Coropoa Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 12:45 Larde Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 12:45 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 18:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Memba Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Muanua Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Ecota Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Formone Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Capelelene Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Nhiendgi Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Nangata Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Chepa Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 20:15 Ali Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 20:15 Injaca Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 20:15 Calajulo Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 20:15 Lumbo Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 20:15 Mosengeri Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 20:15 Mocambique Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 13:15 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 13:15 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Bambe Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Afo Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 00:30 Quinga Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 00:30 Metula Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 16:00 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 16:00 Terrene Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 15:30 Momade Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 15:30 Metopa Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:30 Appontement Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:30 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Mutadua Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:15 Namacoto Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:30 Port Shepstone South Africa  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:30 Glanfield South Africa  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:30 Mtwalume South Africa  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:30 Sezela South Africa  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 13:00 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 13:00 China Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 13:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 21:45 Uetela Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 17:30 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 21:15 Nampuita Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 17:15 Pebane Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 08:45 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 08:45 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 03:30 Barroa Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:15 Metuge Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:15 Mussange Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:15 Acache Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:15 Porto Amelia Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:15 Messequero Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:15 Atolo Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:15 Murrebue Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:15 Luguni Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 02:15 Tari Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:15 Miaola Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:15 Cabaceira Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:15 Matibane Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 16:15 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 16:15 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 16:15 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:45 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 09:30 Fabiao Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:45 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:45 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 20:30 Morombe Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Mauala Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Arire Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 17:45 Tsiboka Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:45 Camo Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:45 Guinjala Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 19:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 21:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 22:15 Enkovukeni South Africa  0.1
13 Mar 2019 19:15 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 19:15 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 19:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:15 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:45 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:45 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:45 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:00 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:00 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Catembe Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Joannisse Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:30 Maziba Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 20:30 Richmond South Africa  0.1
15 Mar 2019 20:30 Boesmansriviermond South Africa  0.1
15 Mar 2019 20:30 Kasouga South Africa  0.1
15 Mar 2019 20:30 Port Alfred South Africa  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Magesani Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Rushungi Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Lihimalyao Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Mkoe Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 13:15 Alimperia Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 17:30 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 21:30 Inhambane Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 21:30 Guilande Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 21:30 Banga Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 21:30 Ingale Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 21:30 Praia do Tofo Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 15:15 Ibo Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 15:15 Tavari Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Mombasa Kenya  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Mto Panga Kenya  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Mtwapa Kenya  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Kijipwa Kenya  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Kijangwani Kenya  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:30 Bopwe Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:30 Konde Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:30 Chokaningayo Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:30 Kiuyu Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:15 Morumequina Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:15 Mecufi Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Onara Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Malindi Kenya  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Marikebuni Kenya  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Gongoni Kenya  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Ngomeni Kenya  0.1
13 Mar 2019 19:45 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Ambohitrabo Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Ambatomilo Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Bekodoy Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:00 Salary Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:30 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:30 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:30 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:30 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:15 Macalopa Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Mkunguni Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Paje Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Kipandoni Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Hiari Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:30 Tongoni Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 17:45 Kuwea Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 17:15 Kilifi Kenya  0.1
13 Mar 2019 17:15 Takaungu Kenya  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Mwera Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Kijichame Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Dutani Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Vumba Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:15 Namelala Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:15 Maaia Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:15 Matiquite Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 12:15 Minhauine Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 20:45 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 14:45 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:45 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:45 Ndumbwe Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:45 Kiswa Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:45 Mikindani Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:45 Naumba Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:45 Mtwara Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 18:45 Msangamkuu Tanzania  0.1
13 Mar 2019 15:45 Chole Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:45 Matsangoni Kenya  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:15 Bumbwini Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:15 Donge Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 21:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Kibele Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:15 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Mida Kenya  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Watamu Kenya  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
14 Mar 2019 16:30 Waa Kenya  0.1
14 Mar 2019 16:30 Mkunguni Kenya  0.1
14 Mar 2019 16:30 Mwandoni Kenya  0.1

Calculation folder at this link