Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for AMPHAN-20
in India, Bangladesh, Bhutan
16 May 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPHAN-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 May 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.2 m 155 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 263 km/h 2.4 m 749 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

263 km/h

Up to 80 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia76,221 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 May 2020 06:00 166 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmBurma, Thailand, India284,556
+
India2,112 
Burma282,437 
Thailand07 
50-100 mmIndia, China, Burma, Thailand12,734,421
+
India708,419 
China686 
Burma12,019,148 
Thailand6,168 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 May 2020 06:00 841 280 thousand
- - - - India, China, Burma, Thailand




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Kelambakkam, India. This height is estimated for 16 May 2020 10:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 May 2020 10:30 Kelambakkam India  0.2
16 May 2020 10:30 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.2
16 May 2020 10:30 Madhavaram India  0.2
16 May 2020 10:30 Chennai India  0.2
16 May 2020 10:00 Purnankuppam India  0.2
16 May 2020 10:00 Pondicherry India  0.2
16 May 2020 10:00 Kalapettai India  0.2
16 May 2020 08:15 Anaitivu Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 08:15 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 08:15 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 09:00 Kodigeri India  0.2
16 May 2020 09:00 Vedaranyam India  0.2
16 May 2020 09:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
16 May 2020 08:30 Tirumullaivasal India  0.2
16 May 2020 08:30 Kaveripattanam India  0.2
16 May 2020 09:15 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 10:00 Porto Novo India  0.2
16 May 2020 08:45 Kuvattur India  0.2
16 May 2020 08:45 Mahabalipuram India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Gangra India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Kakdwip India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Namkhana India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Belpukur India  0.2
16 May 2020 08:45 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 08:45 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 11:00 Karaikal India  0.2
16 May 2020 11:00 Accarapatam India  0.2
16 May 2020 11:00 Velangann India  0.2
16 May 2020 11:00 Nagappattinam India  0.2
16 May 2020 09:30 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 09:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 11:30 Hukitala India  0.2
16 May 2020 11:30 Satabhaya India  0.2
16 May 2020 10:00 Cuddalore India  0.2
16 May 2020 09:00 Tranquebar India  0.2
16 May 2020 09:00 Tarangambadi India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Kattumavadi India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Manamelkudi India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Ammapatam India  0.2
16 May 2020 09:00 Therunattam India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Atirampattinam India  0.2
16 May 2020 10:15 Kakinada India  0.2
16 May 2020 11:00 Karen India  0.2
16 May 2020 10:15 Alampil Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 09:15 Chakicherla India  0.1
16 May 2020 09:15 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 09:15 Ullapalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 09:15 Pakala India  0.1
16 May 2020 10:30 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 10:30 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 10:30 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 10:15 Nuliasahi India  0.1
16 May 2020 08:45 Chalai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 09:30 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 11:30 Dublat India  0.1
16 May 2020 11:45 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 11:45 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 11:45 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 11:45 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 11:45 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 11:45 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Govundlapalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 09:30 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Kalipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Jnanpara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Dhalua Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Mahipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Chandkhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Burir Char Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Kachupatra Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Arpangasia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 10:45 Kalapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 07:45 Karuvaddukkeni Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 07:45 Pulmoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 07:45 Analkaddimady Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Kottaippattanam India  0.1
16 May 2020 09:30 Kottapatnam India  0.1
16 May 2020 08:30 Marakkanam India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Rathedaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 09:30 Rasalpur India  0.1
16 May 2020 09:30 Chandipur India  0.1
16 May 2020 08:00 Keaiya India  0.1
16 May 2020 08:00 Maru India  0.1
16 May 2020 08:00 Taka-roait India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Digha India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Ramnagar India  0.1
16 May 2020 11:30 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 11:30 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 08:30 Tiruvottiyur India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Hparabyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 09:15 Peddapatnam India  0.1
16 May 2020 11:30 Kudaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 11:00 Nizampatam India  0.1
16 May 2020 11:00 Kottapalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1