Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for AMPHAN-20
in India, Bangladesh, Bhutan
16 May 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPHAN-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 May 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 0.3 m 168 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 263 km/h 2.4 m 749 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

263 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 May 2020 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 May 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 May 2020 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmBurma791,986 
50-100 mmIndia, Burma, Thailand7,310,265
+
India294,631 
Burma7,009,459 
Thailand6,175 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 May 2020 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 May 2020 12:00 99 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 16 May 2020 18:00 786 790 thousand
- - - - India, Burma, Thailand




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Gangra, India. This height is estimated for 16 May 2020 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 May 2020 18:00 Gangra India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Kakdwip India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Namkhana India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Belpukur India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:15 Dublat India  0.3
16 May 2020 19:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 19:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 19:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 19:00 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 21:15 Baruva India  0.2
16 May 2020 20:00 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:00 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:00 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:00 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:00 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:00 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:00 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:15 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:15 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:15 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:15 Taungxun Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:30 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:30 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 23:30 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 23:30 Anaitivu Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 20:30 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 20:30 Budin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 20:30 Kadaik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 20:30 Donwun Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Bijavbati India  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kalipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Jnanpara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Dhalua Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Mahipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Chandkhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Burir Char Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kachupatra Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Arpangasia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kalapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Hatia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 23:45 Chakicherla India  0.1
16 May 2020 23:45 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 23:00 Karuvaddukkeni Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 23:00 Pulmoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 23:00 Analkaddimady Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kelambakkam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Madhavaram India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Chennai India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Darein Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Nizampatam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Kottapalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
16 May 2020 19:00 Dubla Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:15 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Aunghlaing Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Polaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Ama Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 23:45 Karaikal India  0.1
16 May 2020 23:45 Accarapatam India  0.1
16 May 2020 23:45 Velangann India  0.1
16 May 2020 23:45 Nagappattinam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 21:30 Kakinada India  0.1
16 May 2020 21:15 Tirumullaivasal India  0.1
16 May 2020 21:15 Kaveripattanam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Paung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Tawbaing Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Alandaing Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Hseikma Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 23:15 Purnankuppam India  0.1
16 May 2020 23:15 Pondicherry India  0.1
16 May 2020 23:15 Kalapettai India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Karen India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kattumavadi India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Atirampattinam India  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:45 Kuakata Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Alampil Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 22:15 Hngetkyidaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 22:15 Thegondan Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 22:15 Thaunggon Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 22:15 Mibya Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 22:15 Kala-ywa Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 22:15 Ase-ywa Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 23:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 23:30 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 23:00 Porto Novo India  0.1
16 May 2020 19:45 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 19:45 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Therunattam India  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Kyaukiwe Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Kokkabyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Kyaungbyin-ok Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Ammapatam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Taikkyua Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Bogon Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Charparbati Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:45 Char Chapli Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Htawa Myanmar  0.1