Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for AMPHAN-20
in India, Bangladesh, Bhutan
16 May 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPHAN-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 May 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.3 m 99 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 263 km/h 2.4 m 749 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

263 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 May 2020 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 May 2020 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmBurma678,320 
50-100 mmBurma, India, Thailand17,816,416
+
Burma17,454,244 
India355,562 
Thailand6,610 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 May 2020 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 May 2020 12:00 894 680 thousand
- - - - Burma, India, Thailand




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Gangra, India. This height is estimated for 16 May 2020 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 May 2020 18:00 Gangra India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Kakdwip India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Namkhana India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Belpukur India  0.3
16 May 2020 12:30 Kelambakkam India  0.3
16 May 2020 12:30 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.3
16 May 2020 12:30 Madhavaram India  0.3
16 May 2020 12:30 Chennai India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Dublat India  0.3
16 May 2020 13:00 Karaikal India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:00 Accarapatam India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:00 Velangann India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:00 Nagappattinam India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:15 Bijavbati India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:30 Purnankuppam India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:30 Pondicherry India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:30 Kalapettai India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:45 Chakicherla India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:45 Vatturupallepalem India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Anaitivu Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 12:00 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 13:00 Kottaippattanam India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:00 Kattumavadi India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:00 Manamelkudi India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:00 Ammapatam India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Tranquebar India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:45 Tarangambadi India  0.2
16 May 2020 17:00 Atirampattinam India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:15 Therunattam India  0.2
16 May 2020 12:30 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 12:30 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 13:15 Porto Novo India  0.2
16 May 2020 13:15 Dubla Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 17:30 Kakinada India  0.1
16 May 2020 13:45 Digha India  0.1
16 May 2020 13:45 Ramnagar India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:15 Devipatam India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:15 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Cuddalore India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Kaveripattanam India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:45 Nizampatam India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:45 Kottapalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:45 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:15 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 14:15 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Kamla Char Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Kumira Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Kalipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Jnanpara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Dhalua Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Mahipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Chandkhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Burir Char Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Kachupatra Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Arpangasia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Kalapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:30 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:30 Darein Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:30 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:30 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:30 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Alampil Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Tondi India  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Rasalpur India  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Chandipur India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Karuvaddukkeni Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Pulmoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Rathedaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:30 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 13:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 13:45 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 16:45 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 16:45 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 16:45 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 16:45 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 16:45 Anowara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 16:45 Noapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Analkaddimady Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Karen India  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Chalai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 14:30 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Hukitala India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Satabhaya India  0.1
16 May 2020 15:30 Ilichar India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Paung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 14:00 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 14:00 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 14:00 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 14:00 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:45 Bideipur India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:45 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:00 Govundlapalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Hparabyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Kyaukiwe Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Kokkabyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Kyaungbyin-ok Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Kyaukpyinseik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Myaukpyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Ponnagyi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:15 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:30 Marakkanam India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:15 Panalkkulam India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:15 Irumeni India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:00 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 16:45 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Okkan Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:30 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Wagon Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Ledaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:00 Nuliasahi India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:45 Taikkyua Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Chatrapur India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Canjam India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Paluru India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Malud India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Nuralrevu India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Gopalpur India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:15 Tirumullaivasal India  0.1
16 May 2020 16:30 Baruva India  0.1
16 May 2020 13:00 Sandawshin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:00 Tandin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Puri India  0.1
16 May 2020 12:30 Balighai India  0.1
16 May 2020 13:30 Chaunggya Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:30 Peikseik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:30 Phapholting Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:30 Zigaing Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:00 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 13:00 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 13:00 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 13:00 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 13:00 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.1