Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Tonga
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Dec 13:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.3 m 163 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTonga30 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 184 -
- - - - - Tonga
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmWallis and Futuna9,881 
50-100 mmTuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu499,223
+
Tuvalu3,240 
Solomon Islands2,843 
Fiji443,368 
Wallis and Futuna5,680 
Vanuatu44,092 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 1766 10 thousand
- - - - Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Naindi, Fiji. This height is estimated for 13 Dec 2020 13:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Naindi Fiji  0.3
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Korosi Fiji  0.3
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Korotasere Fiji  0.3
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Naweni Fiji  0.3
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Nakarambo Fiji  0.3
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Viani Fiji  0.3
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.3
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.3
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Malake Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Ba Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Lao Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Namaka Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Nadi Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 12:30 Paola New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 12:30 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 12:30 Touho New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 12:30 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 12:30 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Momi Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Solevu Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Meriver Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Lamap Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:30 Tavua Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:30 Tavua Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Nailou Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Nawi Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Napuka Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Soso Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Vangai Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Navinggiri Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Ndalomo Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Naruwai Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Mamie New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Waho New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:30 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:30 Balaide New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:30 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 15:00 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Sisili Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Nasea Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:00 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:00 Houailou New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:00 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:00 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:45 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:15 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:15 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:15 Naua Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:15 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Korovou Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Navuti Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:00 Thavanga Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:00 Ndaria Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:00 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:00 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:45 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:45 Yangganga Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Tawake Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Nacula Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:00 Moneo New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 13:00 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 15:30 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 15:30 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 15:30 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:00 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:00 Koumac New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Waisa Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Natua Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:45 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Souleisere Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Piapouria Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Tourebiou Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Atsaritibi Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Robertsons Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Bakakara Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Terou Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Worovok Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 16:45 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.1