Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji
Exposed population 270 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Dec 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 162 km/h 0.3 m 146 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 270 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Fiji6,520 
CAT. 2Fiji127,640 
CAT. 1Fiji138,686 
Tropical StormFiji548,311 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 209 270 thousand
- - Fiji
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmFiji705,253 
100-250 mmFiji65,335 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga148,434
+
Solomon Islands951 
Fiji131,657 
Wallis and Futuna15,561 
Tonga265 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 766 770 thousand
- - - Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Naindi, Fiji. This height is estimated for 15 Dec 2020 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Naindi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Korosi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Korotasere Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Naweni Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Nakarambo Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Viani Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Thavanga Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Ndaria Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Rave-rave Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Ndawara Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Ba Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Paola New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Touho New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 09:00 Lao Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 09:00 Vangai Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 09:00 Nawi Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 09:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Thio New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 10:45 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 10:45 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:15 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 09:30 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Naingani Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:15 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:15 Matayalevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:15 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:15 Sisili Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:15 Nacula Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:15 Navotua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:15 Tamusua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 10:30 Nailou Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 10:30 Napuka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 09:45 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 09:45 Navukembuli Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 09:45 Naua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 09:45 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 07:00 Malake Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:15 Tawake Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:15 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:15 Navindamu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:15 Nasea Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 11:15 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Soso Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:30 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:30 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:30 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:45 Lautoka Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Meriver Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Lamap Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Teci Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:30 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:30 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Korovou Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Navuti Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:45 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:45 Mamie New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:45 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:45 Waho New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:15 Togowere Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:00 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Nasau Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:45 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:45 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:30 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:30 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:30 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:30 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:30 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:00 Waisa Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Natua Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 08:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 07:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 09:00 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:30 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:30 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:30 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 10:30 Wala New Caledonia  0.1