Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji
Exposed population 80 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 227 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (16 Dec 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 227 km/h 0.6 m 254 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 80 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Fiji19 
CAT. 2Fiji18,315 
CAT. 1Fiji66,458 
Tropical StormFiji762,758 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 238 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 16 Dec 2020 06:00 223 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 17 16 Dec 2020 12:00 227 80 thousand
- - Fiji
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmFiji45 
250-500 mmFiji503,282 
100-250 mmFiji212,984 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga203,145
+
Solomon Islands941 
Tuvalu39 
Fiji186,324 
Wallis and Futuna15,561 
Tonga280 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 16 Dec 2020 06:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 16 Dec 2020 12:00 501 720 thousand
- - Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Naindi, Fiji. This height is estimated for 16 Dec 2020 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Naindi Fiji  0.6
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Korosi Fiji  0.6
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.6
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Naweni Fiji  0.6
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.6
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Viani Fiji  0.6
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.6
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Mamie New Caledonia  0.5
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.5
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Waho New Caledonia  0.5
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Mbangasau Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Sisili Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Nacula Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Navotua Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Tamusua Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Soso Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Somosomo Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Malake Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Teci Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Lao Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Thavanga Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Ndaria Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Rave-rave Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Ndawara Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Vangai Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Nawi Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Nailou Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Meriver Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Lamap Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Mbukama Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Yasawairara Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Ba Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Natunuka Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Canala New Caledonia  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.3
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Korovou Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Lodoni Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Lawaki Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Navuti Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Namaka Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Nadi Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Tavua Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Solevu Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Momi Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 16:30 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:30 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:30 Nasea Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Tavua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Navukembuli Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Naua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Napuka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Paola New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Touho New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 15:45 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Naingani Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:45 Togowere Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:15 Nauouo Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Thio New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 13:30 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 13:30 Nasau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:15 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Meomo New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Houailou New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Tawake Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Nukusa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Nambouono Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 13:45 Mou New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 13:45 Moneo New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 13:45 Ho New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 16:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Ipota Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 17:45 Ifo Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 13:15 Levuka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Galoa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Yanutha Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Waisomo Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Lalati Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Navua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Mau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Waisa Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Natua Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 13:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 16:00 Nausori Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 16:00 Cautata Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 16:00 Dromuna Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Lokia Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:15 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:15 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:15 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:15 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:15 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:15 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:15 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:15 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Laucala Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Lomawal Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Mbatiri Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:30 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 17:30 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:15 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Fayaoue New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Wadrilla New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Wegnec St-Joseph New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Teouta New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:45 Ognat New Caledonia  0.1