Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Tonga
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (14 Dec 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.4 m 170 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 1 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTonga1,011 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 176 -
- - - - - Tonga
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmWallis and Futuna, Fiji26,591
+
Fiji11,030 
Wallis and Futuna15,561 
50-100 mmTuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Vanuatu, Tonga728,397
+
Tuvalu2,936 
Solomon Islands1,360 
Fiji708,800 
Vanuatu15,036 
Tonga265 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 1143 30 thousand
- - - - Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Nailanga, Fiji. This height is estimated for 14 Dec 2020 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.4
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.4
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Ba Fiji  0.4
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Natunuka Fiji  0.4
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Tavua Fiji  0.4
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Naindi Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Korosi Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Naweni Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Viani Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 04:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 04:30 Nadi Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 04:30 Namaka Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 04:45 Solevu Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 04:45 Momi Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 04:45 Tavua Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 02:30 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 02:30 Meriver Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 02:30 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 02:30 Lamap Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 02:30 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:30 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:30 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:15 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Malake Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Soso Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Lao Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Nailou Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Nawi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Napuka Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:00 Sisili Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:00 Nacula Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:00 Navotua Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:00 Tamusua Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:45 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Nasau Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 04:30 Korovou Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:30 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:30 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:30 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:30 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:30 Navuti Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 02:45 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 02:45 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 03:30 Vangai Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Togowere Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:15 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 02:15 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 02:15 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 02:15 Naua Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 02:15 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Tawake Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Naingani Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:15 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:00 Teci Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Thavanga Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:15 Levuka Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Ndaria Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 03:45 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 05:30 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 05:30 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 05:30 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 05:30 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 05:30 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 04:45 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:15 Nasea Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:30 Mbukama Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 03:30 Waisa Fiji  0.1