Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji
Exposed population 310 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 238 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (16 Dec 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 238 km/h 0.4 m 204 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 310 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Fiji12,736 
CAT. 2Fiji105,711 
CAT. 1Fiji186,690 
Tropical StormFiji551,265 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 238 310 thousand
- - Fiji
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmFiji154 
250-500 mmFiji722,479 
100-250 mmFiji129,919 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga68,119
+
Solomon Islands458 
Tuvalu39 
Fiji50,655 
Wallis and Futuna15,561 
Tonga1,406 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 624 850 thousand
- - Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Mamie, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 16 Dec 2020 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Dec 2020 04:00 Mamie New Caledonia  0.4
16 Dec 2020 04:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.4
16 Dec 2020 04:00 Waho New Caledonia  0.4
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Lao Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Vangai Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Nawi Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 04:30 Nailou Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:30 Napuka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:00 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Navukembuli Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Naua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:00 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:00 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:00 Meriver Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:00 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:00 Lamap Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:00 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:15 Tawake Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:15 Nukusa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 02:15 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 02:15 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 02:15 Nasea Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Thavanga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Ndaria Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Rave-rave Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Ndawara Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:00 Naindi Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:00 Korosi Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:00 Naweni Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:00 Viani Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:15 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:15 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:15 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:15 Sisili Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:15 Nacula Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:15 Navotua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:15 Tamusua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:15 Matayalevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 04:30 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:15 Teci Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 00:15 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 00:15 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 00:15 Naingani Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:30 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:30 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:30 Ba Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 05:30 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 02:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 02:15 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 02:15 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 02:15 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 02:15 Nasau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 01:15 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 01:15 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 03:30 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:30 Canala New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:30 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Galoa Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Yanutha Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Waisomo Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Lalati Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Navua Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:15 Mau Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 05:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 05:30 Tavua Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:15 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:15 Navuti Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 05:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 05:00 Mbangasau Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 05:30 Malake Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:30 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:30 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:30 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 02:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 02:45 Togowere Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 02:15 Soso Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 02:30 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 02:30 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 02:30 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 05:15 Mbukama Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 05:15 Yasawairara Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:30 Korovou Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:30 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:30 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:00 Waisa Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:00 Natua Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:00 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:30 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Souleisere Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Piapouria Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Tourebiou Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Atsaritibi Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Robertsons Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Bakakara Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Terou Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Worovok Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:15 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:15 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Balaide New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 03:45 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 04:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1