Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji
Exposed population 280 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 202 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Dec 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 202 km/h 0.3 m 184 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 280 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Fiji8,306 
CAT. 2Fiji113,976 
CAT. 1Fiji160,173 
Tropical StormFiji545,381 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 209 280 thousand
- - Fiji
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmFiji723,217 
100-250 mmWallis and Futuna, Tonga, Fiji155,440
+
Fiji154,726 
Wallis and Futuna449 
Tonga265 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna40,391
+
Solomon Islands941 
Tuvalu39 
Fiji24,299 
Wallis and Futuna15,112 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 621 880 thousand
- - - Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Lao, Fiji. This height is estimated for 15 Dec 2020 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Lao Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Nailou Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Nawi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Vunikura Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Napuka Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Naindi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Korosi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Korotasere Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Naweni Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Nakarambo Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Viani Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Vangai Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Mamie New Caledonia  0.3
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.3
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Waho New Caledonia  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Mbangasau Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:15 Solevu Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:15 Momi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:15 Nadi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:15 Namaka Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:15 Lautoka Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Malake Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Nailanga Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Sorokoba Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Ba Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Natunuka Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Tavua Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Vunivatu Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Navukembuli Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Naua Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:15 Tavua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Korovou Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Naingani Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Navuti Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:00 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 19:00 Thio New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 19:00 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 19:00 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:45 Nauouo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Waisa Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Natua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Mbangata Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 20:45 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 20:45 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 20:45 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 20:45 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Soso Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Matayalevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Sisili Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 23:15 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 23:15 Canala New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 23:15 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Tawake Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Nukusa Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Nasea Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Togowere Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Kasavu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Nasau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 19:30 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Thavanga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Ndaria Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Rave-rave Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:45 Ndawara Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Levuka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Meriver Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Lamap Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Nacula Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Navotua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Tamusua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 23:45 Arama New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 23:45 Pam New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Houailou New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:15 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Moneo New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:30 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:15 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:45 Teci Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 18:30 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 19:00 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Laucala Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Nausori Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Lokia Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Cautata Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:00 Dromuna Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 00:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Galoa Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Yanutha Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Waisomo Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Lalati Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Navua Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 21:15 Mau Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Kouroumanpe Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 22:30 Mangarisu Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 23:15 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1