Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji, Tonga
Exposed population 240 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Dec 00:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.3 m 128 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 240 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Fiji9,078 
CAT. 1Fiji234,172 
Tropical StormFiji, Tonga215,860
+
Fiji215,830 
Tonga30 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 191 240 thousand
- - - Fiji, Tonga
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmFiji393,971 
100-250 mmFiji357,336 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga167,656
+
Solomon Islands941 
Fiji150,889 
Wallis and Futuna15,561 
Tonga265 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 885 750 thousand
- - - Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Naindi, Fiji. This height is estimated for 15 Dec 2020 00:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Dec 2020 00:15 Naindi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:15 Korosi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:15 Korotasere Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:15 Naweni Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:15 Nakarambo Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:15 Viani Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:15 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Nailanga Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Sorokoba Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Ba Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Tavua Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Momi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Nadi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Namaka Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Solevu Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Malake Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Lao Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Naingani Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Nailou Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Nawi Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:15 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:15 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:15 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:15 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:15 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:15 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:15 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:15 Nasau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Navukembuli Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Naua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 01:30 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 01:30 Napuka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Vangai Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:15 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:30 Thio New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:30 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:30 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Matayalevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Sisili Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Nacula Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Navotua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Tamusua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Waisa Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Natua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Mbangata Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 00:30 Tawake Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 00:30 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Korovou Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Navuti Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:15 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Soso Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:45 Teci Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Canala New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:45 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Togowere Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 00:30 Nasea Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:30 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Laucala Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Nausori Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Lokia Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Cautata Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:30 Dromuna Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 00:00 Levuka Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Meriver Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Lamap Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:00 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:45 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:45 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:45 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:45 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:45 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 04:45 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:45 Mbukama Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 05:00 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 03:45 Yasawairara Fiji  0.1