Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DARIAN-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DARIAN-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 248 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (29 Dec 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 248 km/h 0.7 m 969 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 248 km/h 0.7 m 969 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Dec 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Dec 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Dec 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Dec 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 19 Dec 2022 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Dec 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Dec 2022 18:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 20 Dec 2022 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 20 Dec 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Dec 2022 12:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Dec 2022 18:00 230 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 21 Dec 2022 00:00 223 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 21 Dec 2022 06:00 223 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 21 Dec 2022 12:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 21 Dec 2022 18:00 248 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 22 Dec 2022 00:00 234 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 22 Dec 2022 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 22 Dec 2022 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 22 Dec 2022 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 23 Dec 2022 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 23 Dec 2022 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 23 Dec 2022 12:00 241 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 23 Dec 2022 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 24 Dec 2022 00:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 24 Dec 2022 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 24 Dec 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 24 Dec 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 25 Dec 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 25 Dec 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 25 Dec 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 25 Dec 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 26 Dec 2022 00:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 26 Dec 2022 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 26 Dec 2022 12:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 26 Dec 2022 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 27 Dec 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 27 Dec 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 27 Dec 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 39 27 Dec 2022 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 40 28 Dec 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 41 28 Dec 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 42 28 Dec 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 43 28 Dec 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 44 29 Dec 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 45 29 Dec 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 46 29 Dec 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 47 29 Dec 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 48 30 Dec 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 49 30 Dec 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 50 30 Dec 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 51 30 Dec 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 52 31 Dec 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

969 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Dec 2022 06:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Dec 2022 12:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Dec 2022 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 19 Dec 2022 00:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 19 Dec 2022 06:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Dec 2022 12:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Dec 2022 18:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 20 Dec 2022 00:00 323 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 20 Dec 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Dec 2022 12:00 378 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Dec 2022 18:00 329 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 21 Dec 2022 00:00 246 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 21 Dec 2022 06:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 21 Dec 2022 12:00 293 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 21 Dec 2022 18:00 499 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 22 Dec 2022 00:00 356 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 22 Dec 2022 06:00 331 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 22 Dec 2022 12:00 311 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 22 Dec 2022 18:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 23 Dec 2022 00:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 23 Dec 2022 06:00 323 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 23 Dec 2022 12:00 310 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 23 Dec 2022 18:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 24 Dec 2022 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 24 Dec 2022 06:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 24 Dec 2022 12:00 246 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 24 Dec 2022 18:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 25 Dec 2022 00:00 244 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 25 Dec 2022 06:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 25 Dec 2022 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 25 Dec 2022 18:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 26 Dec 2022 00:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 26 Dec 2022 06:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 26 Dec 2022 12:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 26 Dec 2022 18:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 27 Dec 2022 00:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 27 Dec 2022 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 27 Dec 2022 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 39 27 Dec 2022 18:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 40 28 Dec 2022 00:00 39 - - - - - - -
Blue 41 28 Dec 2022 06:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 42 28 Dec 2022 12:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 43 28 Dec 2022 18:00 35 - - - - - - -
Blue 44 29 Dec 2022 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 45 29 Dec 2022 06:00 33 - - - - - - -
Blue 46 29 Dec 2022 12:00 38 - - - - - - -
Blue 47 29 Dec 2022 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 48 30 Dec 2022 00:00 70 - - - - - - -
Blue 49 30 Dec 2022 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 50 30 Dec 2022 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 51 30 Dec 2022 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 52 31 Dec 2022 00:00 125 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Pasirganting, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Dec 2022 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mIndonesia4,629 
0.25 - 0.5 mCocos Islands, Mauritius36,040
+
Cocos Islands581 
Mauritius35,458 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Pasirganting Indonesia  0.7
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Gati Indonesia  0.7
24 Dec 2022 06:45 Siberimanua Indonesia  0.6
24 Dec 2022 06:45 Sigoisooinan Indonesia  0.6
24 Dec 2022 06:45 Patdarai Indonesia  0.6
24 Dec 2022 06:45 Beriolou Indonesia  0.6
24 Dec 2022 06:45 Gigitji Indonesia  0.6
24 Dec 2022 06:45 Kaliet Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:15 Katiet Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Mukomuko Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Airdikit Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Bantal Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Pondoklintang Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Airberau Indonesia  0.6
24 Dec 2022 06:45 Pasapuat Indonesia  0.6
24 Dec 2022 06:45 Simagandjo Indonesia  0.6
24 Dec 2022 06:45 Taikaguru Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Seblat Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Ketaun Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Serangai Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Silaoinan Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Seai Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Tapuraukat Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Bahatmonga Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:15 Penampung Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:15 Ipuh Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:15 Ipun Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:15 Airrami Indonesia  0.6
28 Dec 2022 06:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.6
28 Dec 2022 06:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Muaraterusanbunga Indonesia  0.6
29 Dec 2022 06:30 Pasarsebelah Indonesia  0.6
25 Dec 2022 03:00 Lais Indonesia  0.6
25 Dec 2022 03:00 Baru Indonesia  0.6
25 Dec 2022 03:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.6
25 Dec 2022 03:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.6
25 Dec 2022 03:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.6
25 Dec 2022 03:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.6
25 Dec 2022 07:00 Mapoupou Indonesia  0.5
25 Dec 2022 07:00 Pinempet Indonesia  0.5
27 Dec 2022 12:00 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.5
27 Dec 2022 12:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.5
27 Dec 2022 12:00 Ngalam Indonesia  0.5
19 Dec 2022 20:45 Beleratsok Indonesia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Belowa Indonesia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Taoabi Indonesia  0.5
27 Dec 2022 03:45 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.5
27 Dec 2022 03:45 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.5
28 Dec 2022 13:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.5
28 Dec 2022 17:45 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.5
25 Dec 2022 06:45 Kabue Indonesia  0.5
25 Dec 2022 06:45 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.5
28 Dec 2022 20:00 Sabeugukgung Indonesia  0.4
27 Dec 2022 12:45 Taigebgem Indonesia  0.4
25 Dec 2022 00:30 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.4
25 Dec 2022 00:30 Maheboug Mauritius  0.4
25 Dec 2022 00:30 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.4
28 Dec 2022 02:15 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.4
28 Dec 2022 02:15 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.4
23 Dec 2022 20:00 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.4
27 Dec 2022 13:00 Bulasat Indonesia  0.4
23 Dec 2022 07:15 Maileppet Indonesia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 04:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.3
28 Dec 2022 14:30 Port Louis Mauritius  0.3
01 Jan 2023 19:15 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.3
24 Dec 2022 23:30 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.2
24 Dec 2022 23:30 Souillac Mauritius  0.2