Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (06 Dec 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 74 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 77 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 360 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan363,810
+
Iran12,539 
Pakistan351,271 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 111 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 110 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 82 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Dec 2017 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Dec 2017 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 04 Dec 2017 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 04 Dec 2017 06:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Dec 2017 12:00 74 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 04 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 04 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Ghogha, India. This height is estimated for 06 Dec 2017 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Dec 2017 09:30 Ghogha India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 10:00 Asarsa India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 10:00 Harinagar India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 10:00 Tankari India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:30 Wadgam India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:30 Kambhat India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:30 Kavi India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:00 Dahej India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:15 Sarod India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:00 Bhagva India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:00 Olpad India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 06:45 Damka India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 06:30 Udvada India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Daman India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:45 Kotada India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Maroli India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Umbargam India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Bordi India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Gholvad India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Mahuva India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 04:30 Malyan India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Shirgaon India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Palghar India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Mahim India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Agashi India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Tarapur India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Boisar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Mumbai India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Asumumbay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Mandve India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Uran India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Trombay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Taloje India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Nalasopara India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Dongri India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 23:15 Malad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Jafarabad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 01:30 Alibag India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Dharabandar India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Rohisa India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Revadanda India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Murud India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Nawabandar India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Delvada India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Srivardhan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Bankot India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Kelshi India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:15 Dangarvadi India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:15 Kotra Nes India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:30 Kodinar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 21:30 Anjanwel India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Lodhwa India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Sutrapada India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Somnath India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Veraval India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Guhagar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Chorwad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Boria India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 21:45 Jaigarh India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:15 Mangrol India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Shil India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Purangad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Adiura India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Mirya India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Ratnagiri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:30 Purnagad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Pural India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Gorser India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:45 Devgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:45 Achra India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Ratia India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Vengurla India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Terekhol India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Chopdem India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Anjuna India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Malvan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Chaudi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Majali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Adodar India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 20:15 Porbandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:45 Marmagao India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:45 Agacaim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:45 Madgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Belekeri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Gokarn India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Karwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:30 Panaji India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 20:45 Miyani India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 20:45 Lamba India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Mavalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Shirali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Bainduru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Kumta India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Honavar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Manki India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 02:45 Aramda India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 00:45 Jambura India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 00:45 Jodiya India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Kundapura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Chittadi India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 19:45 Bhogat India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 19:45 Madhi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 20:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 'Urf Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Mursays Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Hiql Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Maghilah Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:45 Tuna India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 20:30 Dwarka India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 01:15 Jhankhar India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 01:15 Sika India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 02:45 Chudeswar India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 01:00 Mundra India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Udipi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 20:30 Gadechi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Vijayapati India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Periathullay India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 01:00 Navinal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:15 Lakba Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
06 Dec 2017 20:45 Okha India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:15 Nafun Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 01:45 Bhadia India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:30 Mulki India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:45 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 02:30 Mandvi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Uppuveli Sri Lanka  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Trincomalee Sri Lanka  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Agastiswaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Cape Comorin India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Erukkandurai India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Kakinada India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:00 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:15 Rasalpur India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 11:45 Chipurupalle India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 11:45 Vishakhapatnam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Pentakota India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Venkatapuram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Pudimadaka India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Chittivalasa India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Therunattam India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 03:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Devipatam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Muttupettai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Panalkkulam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Irumeni India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Pamban India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 11:45 Konada India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Mahabalipuram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Kelambakkam India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 13:15 Satabhaya India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 14:45 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.1
07 Dec 2017 11:45 Purnankuppam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 11:45 Pondicherry India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 11:45 Kalapettai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 17:30 Rameswaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Duqm Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:00 Cuddalore India  0.1