Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
31 Oct 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Nov 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.3 m 83 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m 513 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia36,557 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia2,593,259 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 233 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 97 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 220 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 261 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Kambhat India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Kavi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Sarod India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Wadgam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 17:00 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 17:30 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 17:30 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:15 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 21:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 21:00 Rohisa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 21:00 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 16:45 Damka India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:15 Delvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:15 Nawabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Dangarvadi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Gholvad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Bordi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Umbargam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Maroli India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Daman India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Udvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Malyan India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Tarapur India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Kodinar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Boisar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Shirgaon India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Palghar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Veraval India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Somnath India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:45 Mahim India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Ankola India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Gokarn India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Kumta India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Dongri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Vasai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Shil India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Mangrol India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Chorwad India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Honavar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Belekeri India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Karwar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Malad India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:45 Mavalli India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:45 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Manki India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Ratia India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Gorser India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Chittadi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Kundapura India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Asumumbay India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Adodar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Bainduru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Porbandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Alibag India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Udipi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Murud India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Majali India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Madgaon India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:30 Duqm Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Revadanda India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Srivardhan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:30 As Sirab Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Kelshi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:30 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Bhogat India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:45 Nafun Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Anjanwel India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Terekhol India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Anjuna India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 17:15 Qaysad Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Guhagar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Boria India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Jaigarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Mirya India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:15 Ratnagiri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:15 Purangad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:15 Purnagad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:00 Madhi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Adiura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:00 Dwarka India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Devgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Pural India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Aramda India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 17:15 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Achra India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Malvan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
03 Nov 2019 04:45 Suthri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 06:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Periathullay India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Tiruchendur India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Mandvi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 00:15 Tuna India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 00:15 Jodiya India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:00 Ghalat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:00 Sharkh Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Jambura India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Mundra India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 03:30 Bhadia India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Sika India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 04:00 Chudeswar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:45 Jhankhar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 03:45 Navinal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 10:30 Mulki India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Kasaragod India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Bekal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Nileshwar India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:30 Filim Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:00 Kumbla India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Dawwah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:30 Chervattur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:30 Trikkaripur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:30 Madayipara India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Madayi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Kannapuram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Adgat United Arab Emirates  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:15 Cannanore India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:15 Edakkad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:15 Dharmadam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Haripad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Kayankulam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Karunagapalli India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:15 Tellicherry India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:15 Mahe India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:30 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:30 Khadra' Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:30 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:30 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Khawr Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:15 Taingapatam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:15 Kolachel India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:15 Kadiapattanam India  0.1