Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

18 May 2021 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, China, India
Exposed population	1.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	4.2 m (18 May 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	130 km/h	4.2 m	128 mm	1.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 1.3 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	1,272,038
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, China, India	47,287,851	+
	Afghanistan	13,214
	China	9,856
	India	47,264,781

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan
7	15 May 2021 18:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	151	Few people		-	-	-	-	India
10	16 May 2021 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
11	16 May 2021 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
12	17 May 2021 00:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
13	17 May 2021 06:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
14	17 May 2021 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
15	17 May 2021 18:00	148	80 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
16	18 May 2021 00:00	130	1.3 million		-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, China, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India, China, Nepal	33,702,134	+
	India	33,182,559
	China	26
	Nepal	519,548
50-100 mm	Pakistan, India, China, Nepal	110,422,284	+
	Pakistan	13,472
	India	107,654,146
	China	7,673
	Nepal	2,746,992

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million			-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	315	1.6 million			-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	227	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 May 2021 18:00	159	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	193	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	215	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
10	16 May 2021 12:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	16 May 2021 18:00	251	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
12	17 May 2021 00:00	204	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
13	17 May 2021 06:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	17 May 2021 12:00	133	890 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
15	17 May 2021 18:00	148	1.6 million			-	-	-	-	India
16	18 May 2021 00:00	183	33.7 million			-	-	-	-	Pakistan, India, China, Nepal

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

4.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 4.2m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 10:00	Kambhat	India	4.2
	18 May 2021 10:00	Kavi	India	4.2
	18 May 2021 10:00	Sarod	India	4.2
	18 May 2021 09:45	Wadgam	India	3.9
	18 May 2021 09:45	Tankari	India	3.7
	18 May 2021 00:00	Asarsa	India	3.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Harinagar	India	3.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Ghogha	India	3.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dahej	India	3.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Muler	India	2.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Hansot	India	2.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Bhagva	India	2.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kotada	India	2.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Damka	India	2.0
	18 May 2021 03:45	Mahuva	India	2.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Olpad	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Surat	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Jalalpur	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mahuver	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Jafarabad	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Nausari	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Navsari	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Rohisa	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dharasana	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Valsad	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dharabandar	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 06:45	Bilimora	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Udvada	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Daman	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Maroli	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Delvada	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Nawabandar	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Umbargam	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Bordi	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Gholvad	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Malyan	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 00:00	Sakhare	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 00:00	Tarapur	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Boisar	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 07:30	Shirgaon	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 07:30	Palghar	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 07:30	Mahim	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 07:30	Agashi	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 07:30	Nalasopara	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 09:30	Mumbai	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 09:30	Asumumbay	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 09:30	Uran	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 09:30	Trombay	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 09:30	Diva	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 09:30	Taloje	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 07:30	Vasai	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 07:30	Dongri	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 07:30	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Malad	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 07:45	Navghar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kodinar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mandve	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Lodhwa	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Alibag	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 20:30	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	19 May 2021 20:30	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	19 May 2021 20:30	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	19 May 2021 20:30	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Sutrapada	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Revadanda	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Somnath	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 01:45	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	20 May 2021 01:45	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Veraval	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 01:45	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	20 May 2021 01:45	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 11:30	New Kandla	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 11:30	Navlakhi	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Murud	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 11:30	Jodiya	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 12:00	Tuna	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 00:45	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	18 May 2021 08:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 22:15	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 11:30	Jambura	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 09:30	Akri	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 08:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 08:00	Bankot	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 08:00	Kelshi	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 17:30	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 11:45	Mundra	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 11:45	Sika	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 11:15	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mangrol	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Atirampattinam	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 14:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 11:30	Navinal	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Okha	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 08:15	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:15	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:15	Salaya	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 08:00	Guhagar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 14:15	Mandvi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Shil	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 14:30	Bhadia	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:30	Kodigeri	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:30	Vedaranyam	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:30	Vedaranniyam	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 07:45	Boria	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:00	Gorser	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 21:15	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 15:30	Ratia	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 07:45	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:00	Dwarka	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 07:30	Mirya	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 07:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:00	Ammapatam	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 21:45	Adodar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 07:45	Miyani	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 07:45	Porbandar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 08:15	Lamba	India	0.2
	20 May 2021 14:45	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.2
	20 May 2021 14:45	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.2
	18 May 2021 07:30	Purnagad	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 08:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 08:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	20 May 2021 14:30	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 07:15	Purangad	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Melmandai	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Vembar	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:30	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:45	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:30	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:30	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 07:15	Adiura	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 15:00	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 15:00	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 19:30	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	20 May 2021 15:30	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 15:00	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:30	Shirali	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:30	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:30	Bainduru	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:30	Chittadi	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 15:00	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 19:00	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:30	Mavalli	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:15	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:15	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:00	Karwar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:00	Belekeri	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:00	Ankola	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:00	Gokarn	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 22:30	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 06:45	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 06:45	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 06:45	Ormara	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:30	Kayalpatnam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 07:00	Pural	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:30	Kottaippattanam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:30	Kundapura	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:00	Durgarajupatnam	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:30	Malan	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Kumta	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 23:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 06:45	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:00	Tis	Iran	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:00	Chah Bahar	Iran	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:00	Ahmadizeh	Iran	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Honavar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Manki	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:45	Peddapatnam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:45	Gollapalem	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:15	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 06:30	Devgarh	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:30	Udipi	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 23:30	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 23:30	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Pentakota	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:00	Chakicherla	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:00	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.