Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 89 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (06 Dec 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 89 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 92 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

92 km/h

Up to 8.3 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India8,319,031
+
Iran254,288 
Pakistan429,625 
India7,635,118 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Dec 2017 06:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Dec 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Dec 2017 18:00 92 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 03 Dec 2017 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Dec 2017 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Dec 2017 12:00 92 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Dec 2017 18:00 89 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 06 Dec 2017 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Wadgam India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Kambhat India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Kavi India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Sarod India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Mumbai India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Asumumbay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Mandve India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Uran India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Trombay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Taloje India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Asarsa India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Harinagar India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Tankari India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Tarapur India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Gholvad India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Malyan India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Mahim India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Nalasopara India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Agashi India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Dongri India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:30 Shirgaon India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:30 Palghar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:30 Daman India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:30 Udvada India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Maroli India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Umbargam India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:15 Boisar India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Ghogha India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Bordi India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Malad India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Dahej India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Damka India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Kotada India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Bhagva India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Olpad India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Mahuva India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Murud India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Alibag India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Srivardhan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Bankot India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Kelshi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Revadanda India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 05:30 Anjanwel India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 05:00 Boria India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 05:00 Guhagar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 11:45 Jafarabad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Rohisa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:15 Jaigarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Mirya India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:15 Ratnagiri India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Purnagad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:15 Dangarvadi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Purangad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Vijayadurg India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Adiura India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Kodinar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Sutrapada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Lodhwa India  0.3
03 Dec 2017 23:45 Anjuna India  0.3
03 Dec 2017 23:45 Marmagao India  0.3
03 Dec 2017 23:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
03 Dec 2017 23:45 Panaji India  0.3
03 Dec 2017 23:45 Agacaim India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Somnath India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:15 Veraval India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 22:30 Chorwad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Kumta India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Honavar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Manki India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:15 Pural India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Shil India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Mangrol India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:15 Advota India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:15 Chaudi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:15 Majali India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 03:15 Devgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 03:15 Achra India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Gokarn India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Malvan India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 21:00 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:30 Mavalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:30 Shirali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:30 Bhatkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:30 Bainduru India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Gorser India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Ratia India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:15 Belekeri India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:00 Vengurla India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:00 Terekhol India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 04:00 Madgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Kundapura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Udipi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:15 Chittadi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:45 Chopdem India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 23:00 Karwar India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Adodar India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 22:30 Pahel Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 22:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 22:30 Laft Iran  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Porbandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 03:15 Mulki India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 22:15 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Bekal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Nileshwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Chervattur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 06:30 Miyani India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 23:45 Madayipara India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 23:45 Madayi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 23:45 Kannapuram India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 23:45 Chirakkal India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 22:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 22:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 22:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Kumbla India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Kasaragod India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Mangaluru India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 20:00 Cochin India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 20:00 Mattancheri India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Mahe India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Badagara India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Payyoli India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Lamba India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:00 Talakkolattur India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:00 Kozhikode India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:00 Beypore India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:00 Chaliyam India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:00 Tirurangadi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:45 Quilandi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:30 Tanur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Ponnani India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:30 Devipatam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:30 Muttupettai India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:30 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:30 Panalkkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:30 Irumeni India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:30 Pamban India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Kadikkad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 03:00 Valapattanam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 03:00 Azhikkal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 03:00 Cannanore India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:30 Chaughat India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:30 Talikkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Pappinivatti India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Dwarka India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Manattala India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Chavakkad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Guruvayur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Edakkad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Dharmadam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Tellicherry India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 21:30 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Ghalat Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:30 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:30 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:00 Rameswaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Alleppey India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Ambalapulai India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 06:15 Bhogat India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 22:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Madhi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Tondi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 04:00 Veliyangod India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 22:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 22:45 Duqm Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:30 Turavur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:15 Lakba Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Haripad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:00 'Urf Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:00 Mursays Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:00 Maghilah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:45 Hambantota Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:45 Kirinda Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Vijayapati India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Periathullay India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Uppuveli Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Trincomalee Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 03:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1