Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

24 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (24 Oct 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	83 km/h	0.3 m	229 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

173 km/h

Up to 1.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	1,482,113

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	104,047
100-250 mm	India	13,221,878
50-100 mm	India	14,698,119

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	680	13.3 million				-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Vengurla, India. This height is estimated for 24 Oct 2019 02:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 Oct 2019 02:45	Vengurla	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 02:45	Terekhol	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 05:30	Khalil	Oman	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 05:30	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 05:30	Khadra'	Oman	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 05:30	As Suwayq	Oman	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 05:30	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 06:00	Chopdem	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 06:00	Anjuna	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 06:00	Marmagao	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 06:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 06:00	Panaji	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 06:00	Agacaim	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 10:00	Madgaon	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 10:45	Belekeri	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 10:45	Ankola	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 10:45	Gokarn	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 10:45	Karwar	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 05:30	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 07:45	Kumta	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 07:45	Honavar	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 07:45	Manki	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 03:15	Mirya	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 03:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Murud	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 07:30	Mavalli	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 07:30	Shirali	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 07:30	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 02:45	Malvan	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:15	Majali	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 02:30	Devgarh	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 02:30	Achra	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 02:30	Pural	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 06:45	Advota	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 06:45	Chaudi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 03:15	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 03:30	Boria	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 03:30	Guhagar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 02:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:00	Bankot	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:00	Kelshi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 02:45	Purangad	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 02:45	Purnagad	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:15	Edakkad	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:15	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:15	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:15	Mahe	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:15	Badagara	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:15	Payyoli	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 03:00	Adiura	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:30	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:30	Palghar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:30	Mahim	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:30	Boisar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:45	Tarapur	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Cannanore	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 03:15	Bainduru	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 03:15	Chittadi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 03:15	Kundapura	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:30	Udipi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:30	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:30	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:30	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:15	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:15	Agashi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:15	Dongri	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:15	Vasai	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Mulki	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:15	Quilandi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Malyan	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Chervattur	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Madayipara	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Madayi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:30	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Bekal	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Beypore	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:15	Kumbla	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 04:15	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 04:15	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 04:15	Tanur	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 04:15	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 09:15	Mahuva	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Gholvad	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 11:00	Malad	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:45	Ponnani	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Dharabandar	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Rohisa	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Bordi	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:15	Barka	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:15	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 09:15	Revadanda	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 09:45	Alibag	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 09:45	Mandve	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:00	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 10:00	Asumumbay	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 11:45	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 11:45	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 11:45	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 10:30	Mumbai	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 09:30	Kotada	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 08:30	Delvada	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 08:30	Nawabandar	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Umbargam	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 06:30	Uran	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 06:30	Trombay	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 06:30	Diva	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 06:30	Taloje	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Deh-Cabo	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Kodinar	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 11:45	Maroli	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 03:45	Sib	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 03:45	Mawalis	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Boho	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Wareegsimo	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 08:45	Bereeda	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Veraval	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Somnath	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Billa	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 04:30	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 06:45	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 06:45	Filim	Oman	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.