Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

30 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (02 Nov 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	86 km/h	0.3 m	332 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

173 km/h

Up to 7 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	7,163

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	30 Oct 2019 12:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	4,619
100-250 mm	India	35,440
50-100 mm	India	993,315

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	256	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	224	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	410	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	687	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	590	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	665	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Oct 2019 00:00	232	1 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Ethiopia, Somalia
14	30 Oct 2019 12:00	387	40 thousand				-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Asumumbay, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Uran	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Trombay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Diva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Taloje	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Daman	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Udvada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Maroli	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Umbargam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Gholvad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Bordi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Malyan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Tarapur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Shirgaon	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Palghar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Mahim	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Boisar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Agashi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Dongri	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Vasai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Damka	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Surat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Mahuver	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Malad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Mumbai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Murud	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:45	Wadgam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:45	Kambhat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:45	Kavi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Mandve	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Alibag	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Revadanda	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Mahuva	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Kelshi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:45	Asarsa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Rohisa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:45	Ghogha	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:30	Harinagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Dahej	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Tankari	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Muler	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Hansot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kotada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Delvada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:45	Kumta	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:45	Honavar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:45	Manki	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Mavalli	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Shirali	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:45	Bainduru	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 15:30	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 15:30	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 15:30	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 15:30	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Chittadi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Kundapura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Bhagva	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Mirya	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:15	Belekeri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:00	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:00	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:15	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:00	Karwar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Purnagad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Adiura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:45	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:45	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:45	Majali	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:30	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:30	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:30	Madgaon	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 09:15	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 09:15	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 09:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Ghalat	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Sharkh	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:45	Vengurla	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:45	Terekhol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Devgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Achra	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:15	Panaji	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:00	Anjuna	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Pural	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:00	Chopdem	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Chorwad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:30	Udipi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Malvan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 06:45	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:00	Mulki	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:00	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Edakkad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Mahe	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Badagara	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Payyoli	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:30	Beypore	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:30	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:30	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:30	Tanur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:30	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Kumbla	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:30	Quilandi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:30	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:15	Bekal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:15	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:15	Chervattur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Ponnani	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 10:45	Cannanore	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Shil	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Madayipara	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Madayi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 13:45	Wareegsimo	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 13:45	Bereeda	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Gorser	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Boosaaso	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Marero	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:15	Shaqra	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:15	Salalah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:15	Al Kathir	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:15	Sudh	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:15	Maydh	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:15	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:00	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Qandala	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Botiala	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Ratia	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:15	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Al Haibala	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	'Ain Ba Ma'bad	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	'Ain al-Juwairi	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 13:45	Abd Allah Gharib	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 13:45	Jarub	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:15	Daga Laha Uein	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 15:00	Bola Cohuan	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 14:45	Kraytar	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 14:45	'Adan	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:15	Bargaal	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Al Kalban	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 13:45	Ankhor	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 13:45	Dagah Gudud	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Tabut	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Hayrut	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Nishtun	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:30	Araft	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:45	'Urf	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:45	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:15	Bandar Jedid	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 15:15	Miji	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:30	Eddi Gellei	Somalia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.