Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

27 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	140 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (27 Oct 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	140 km/h	0.6 m	256 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

923 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Somalia, Ethiopia	12,834	+
	Somalia	2,365
	Ethiopia	10,469

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	978	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2019 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Wadgam	India	0.6
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Kambhat	India	0.6
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Kavi	India	0.6
	27 Oct 2019 05:45	Asarsa	India	0.5
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Harinagar	India	0.5
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Dahej	India	0.5
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Tankari	India	0.5
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Muler	India	0.5
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Ghogha	India	0.5
	27 Oct 2019 03:30	Hansot	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:00	Mahuva	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:45	Bhagva	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:45	Jafarabad	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 02:30	Kotada	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:45	Dharabandar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:45	Rohisa	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:45	Damka	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Surat	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Jalalpur	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Mahuver	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:00	Delvada	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:00	Nawabandar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 02:15	Daman	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 02:15	Udvada	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 08:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 08:30	Dangarvadi	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:30	Maroli	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 02:00	Gholvad	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 02:00	Malyan	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 02:00	Bordi	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 02:00	Umbargam	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Veraval	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Somnath	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Sutrapada	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Lodhwa	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 08:30	Kodinar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:00	Tarapur	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:00	Shirgaon	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:00	Palghar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:00	Mahim	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 01:00	Boisar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 08:45	Nalasopara	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 08:45	Agashi	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 08:45	Dongri	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 08:45	Vasai	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Shil	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Mangrol	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Chorwad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Malad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 09:30	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 09:30	Uran	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 09:30	Trombay	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 09:30	Diva	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 09:30	Taloje	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Mumbai	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 07:30	Ratia	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 07:30	Gorser	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 08:45	Mandve	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Adodar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Porbandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 07:00	Murud	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 07:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 08:15	Lamba	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 08:15	Miyani	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 07:15	Revadanda	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 06:15	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Bankot	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Kelshi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:30	Madhi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Dwarka	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Boria	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Guhagar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 08:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Gadechi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:15	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 08:00	Okha	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 08:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:15	Mirya	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 08:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Sika	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Purangad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Purnagad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 04:45	Adiura	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 11:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Vengurla	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Terekhol	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Chopdem	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Devgarh	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Achra	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 07:45	Malvan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Pural	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 04:15	Anjuna	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Bainduru	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Chittadi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 03:45	Marmagao	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 03:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 03:45	Panaji	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 07:00	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 07:00	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 07:00	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 07:00	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 07:00	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 09:15	Kundapura	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 07:15	Agacaim	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 07:15	Madgaon	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Honavar	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Manki	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Mavalli	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Shirali	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Ankola	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Gokarn	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Kumta	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Advota	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Chaudi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 09:30	Udipi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Karwar	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Belekeri	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 04:00	Majali	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 08:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 07:00	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.