Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

24 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (24 Oct 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	83 km/h	0.5 m	234 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

173 km/h

Up to 400 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	396,112

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	166	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	12,182
100-250 mm	India	8,309,270
50-100 mm	India, Ethiopia	13,608,917	+
	India	13,607,137
	Ethiopia	1,780

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
	2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	765	8.3 million				-	-	-	India, Ethiopia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Vengurla, India. This height is estimated for 24 Oct 2019 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 Oct 2019 23:00	Vengurla	India	0.5
	24 Oct 2019 23:00	Terekhol	India	0.5
	24 Oct 2019 23:15	Chopdem	India	0.5
	24 Oct 2019 23:15	Anjuna	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:00	Marmagao	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:00	Panaji	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:00	Agacaim	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:00	Madgaon	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:00	Malvan	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:15	Devgarh	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:15	Achra	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:15	Pural	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 22:45	Advota	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 22:45	Chaudi	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 22:45	Majali	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 23:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 22:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 22:30	Karwar	India	0.4
	24 Oct 2019 22:30	Belekeri	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 23:30	Adiura	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 23:30	Purangad	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 23:30	Purnagad	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 22:15	Ankola	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 22:15	Gokarn	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 23:45	Mirya	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 23:45	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Boria	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 21:30	Kumta	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 21:30	Honavar	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 21:30	Manki	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Guhagar	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 17:00	Bhatkal	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 17:00	Bainduru	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 17:00	Chittadi	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 21:15	Mavalli	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 21:15	Shirali	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 17:00	Kundapura	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 16:15	Udipi	India	0.3
	24 Oct 2019 21:30	Bankot	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 21:30	Kelshi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 18:45	Mahuva	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 16:15	Mulki	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 13:00	Murud	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 13:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 22:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:30	Kumbla	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 23:15	Alibag	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 23:15	Mandve	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 23:00	Revadanda	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:30	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:30	Agashi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:30	Dongri	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:30	Vasai	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:15	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:15	Palghar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:15	Mahim	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:30	Tarapur	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:30	Boisar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 23:45	Mumbai	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 23:45	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 23:15	Malad	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:30	Malyan	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:30	Bekal	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 18:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Mahe	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Badagara	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Payyoli	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Quilandi	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 14:30	Khalil	Oman	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 14:30	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 14:30	Khadra'	Oman	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 14:30	As Suwayq	Oman	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 14:30	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 16:00	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:30	Gholvad	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 18:45	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Edakkad	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:00	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:00	Rohisa	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 16:15	Uran	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 16:15	Trombay	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 16:15	Diva	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 16:15	Taloje	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 18:45	Kotada	India	0.2
	24 Oct 2019 15:45	Cannanore	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 14:30	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:15	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:15	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:15	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:45	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:45	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:45	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 16:00	Chervattur	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 16:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 16:00	Madayipara	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 16:00	Madayi	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Bordi	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 17:45	Umbargam	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 17:45	Maroli	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 13:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 13:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 13:00	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:45	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 18:45	Asarsa	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 18:45	Harinagar	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:15	Delvada	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:15	Nawabandar	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:15	Damka	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:15	Surat	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:15	Jalalpur	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:15	Mahuver	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Kodinar	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Kotra Nes	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 18:15	Ghogha	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 13:15	Ratia	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 13:15	Gorser	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:30	Dahej	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:30	Hansot	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 13:15	Adodar	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 19:00	Tankari	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 19:00	Muler	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 15:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 18:00	Daman	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 18:00	Udvada	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 20:45	Barka	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 20:45	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Veraval	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Somnath	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:15	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 13:00	Shil	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:15	Wadgam	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:15	Kambhat	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:15	Kavi	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 13:15	Porbandar	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 12:00	Deh-Cabo	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 13:00	Mangrol	India	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:00	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:45	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:45	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 21:45	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	24 Oct 2019 16:45	Bhagva	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.