Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

25 Oct 2019 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	108 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (25 Oct 15:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	108 km/h	0.4 m	402 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

173 km/h

Up to 430 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	433,804

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	166	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia	4,781,334	+
	India	4,781,206
	Somalia	97
	Ethiopia	31
50-100 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia	6,393,299	+
	India	6,382,277
	Somalia	9,055
	Ethiopia	1,967

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	557	4.8 million		-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Vengurla, India. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2019 15:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Vengurla	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Terekhol	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 17:30	Guhagar	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 17:30	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 15:30	Chopdem	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 16:45	Boria	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 16:45	Jaigarh	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 17:15	Mirya	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 16:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 16:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 16:00	Devgarh	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 16:00	Pural	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Bankot	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Kelshi	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 16:00	Purangad	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 16:00	Purnagad	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 16:00	Adiura	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Anjuna	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Achra	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Srivardhan	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Murud	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Malvan	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 14:45	Dahej	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 14:45	Harinagar	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 14:45	Hansot	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Panaji	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 16:00	Marmagao	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 16:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 16:00	Agacaim	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 23:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 23:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Madgaon	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 23:00	Mandve	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 12:15	Kotada	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Wadgam	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Kambhat	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Kavi	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Agashi	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Dongri	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Vasai	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Asarsa	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Malad	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Mumbai	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 14:00	Bhagva	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Advota	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Chaudi	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 22:15	Uran	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:15	Trombay	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:15	Diva	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:15	Taloje	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:30	Majali	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Ghogha	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Tankari	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 15:45	Muler	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:15	Honavar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:15	Manki	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Palghar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Mahim	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Belekeri	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Karwar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:00	Shirali	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:00	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Mahuva	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:15	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:00	Damka	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:00	Surat	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:00	Mahuver	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 17:30	Bainduru	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 17:30	Chittadi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 17:30	Kundapura	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Boisar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Tarapur	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:30	Khalil	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:30	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:30	Khadra'	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:30	As Suwayq	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:30	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:45	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 14:30	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 14:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:30	Veraval	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:30	Somnath	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:30	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:30	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 17:45	Udipi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 14:15	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 14:15	Rohisa	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:30	Malyan	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:45	Gholvad	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:30	Kodinar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:00	Bordi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Daman	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Udvada	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:15	Delvada	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:15	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:30	Chorwad	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 13:00	Umbargam	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Maroli	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 17:45	Mulki	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:30	Shil	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:30	Gorser	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Ratia	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:00	Porbandar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:00	Adodar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:15	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:15	Filim	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 13:45	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 13:45	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Boho	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Wareegsimo	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Bereeda	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 13:45	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:45	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:45	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:45	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:30	Kumbla	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Barka	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Lamba	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Miyani	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 13:45	Ceelaayo	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 13:45	Bender Siyaada	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:15	Cannanore	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:15	Edakkad	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:15	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:15	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:15	Mahe	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Bekal	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:30	Badagara	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 16:30	Payyoli	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.