Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

25 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (25 Oct 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	86 km/h	0.4 m	307 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

173 km/h

Up to 390 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	387,682

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia	7,758,086	+
	India	7,756,615
	Somalia	501
	Ethiopia	970
50-100 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia	6,700,591	+
	India	6,668,567
	Somalia	13,895
	Ethiopia	18,129

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	543	7.8 million		-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Murud, India. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2019 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Oct 2019 06:30	Murud	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 06:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 02:30	Vengurla	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 02:30	Terekhol	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Mirya	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Purangad	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Purnagad	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Adiura	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:15	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 06:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 02:45	Marmagao	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 02:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 02:45	Panaji	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 02:45	Agacaim	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 02:45	Madgaon	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Boria	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Guhagar	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:30	Bankot	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:30	Kelshi	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Devgarh	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Pural	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:30	Chopdem	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:30	Anjuna	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 00:00	Achra	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 06:30	Alibag	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 06:30	Revadanda	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:00	Advota	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:00	Chaudi	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:00	Majali	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 02:45	Malvan	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:15	Karwar	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:15	Belekeri	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:15	Ankola	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:15	Gokarn	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Agashi	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Dongri	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Vasai	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:30	Kumta	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:30	Honavar	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:30	Manki	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 03:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Uran	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Trombay	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Diva	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Taloje	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Palghar	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Mahim	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:30	Mandve	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Kotada	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:30	Shirgaon	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 07:00	Mumbai	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Malad	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 09:30	Tarapur	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:30	Boisar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:45	Malyan	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 10:15	Gholvad	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 10:15	Bordi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 03:15	Mavalli	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 03:15	Shirali	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 10:00	Umbargam	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 10:30	Maroli	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 03:30	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Mahuva	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 07:15	Khalil	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 07:15	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 07:15	Khadra'	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 07:15	As Suwayq	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 07:15	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 11:00	Daman	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 11:00	Udvada	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Damka	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 11:00	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 11:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 07:15	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:30	Kundapura	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:30	Udipi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Chittadi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:45	Delvada	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:45	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:45	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:45	Rohisa	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Bainduru	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:30	Mulki	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 10:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Ratia	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Gorser	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 10:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Mangrol	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Chorwad	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Surat	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 12:00	Mahuver	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 00:30	Ascira	Somalia	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 00:30	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 00:30	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 10:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:15	Shil	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 09:00	Adodar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:30	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Porbandar	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 03:00	Barka	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 03:00	Manumah	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:00	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:00	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:00	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 04:45	Kumbla	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:15	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:15	Bekal	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:15	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:15	Billa	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:00	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 05:00	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 09:30	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 09:30	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 09:30	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 00:30	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 05:00	Chervattur	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:15	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:15	Madayipara	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:15	Madayi	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Lamba	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 08:45	Miyani	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.