Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

29 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	173 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (29 Oct 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	173 km/h	0.3 m	665 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	3,363

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	173	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

923 mm

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	7,341
100-250 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia	41,701	+
	India	40,184
	Ethiopia	98
	Somalia	1,419
50-100 mm	India, Ethiopia, Somalia, Maldives	1,495,511	+
	India	1,486,926
	Ethiopia	2,535
	Somalia	3,144
	Maldives	2,906

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	256	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	224	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	410	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	687	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	590	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	948	50 thousand				-	-	-	India, Ethiopia, Somalia, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Dwarka, India. This height is estimated for 29 Oct 2019 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Oct 2019 14:45	Dwarka	India	0.3
	29 Oct 2019 14:45	Madhi	India	0.3
	29 Oct 2019 14:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 14:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 14:00	Okha	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 14:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 14:45	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 16:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 13:30	Mandvi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 13:30	Bhadia	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 15:15	Navinal	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 15:15	Mundra	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 15:30	Sika	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 14:15	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 14:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 14:45	Tuna	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 14:15	Jambura	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 16:15	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 16:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 16:15	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 15:00	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 23:15	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 12:15	Bhogat	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:15	Lamba	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Porbandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Adodar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 13:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:15	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:15	Ratia	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:15	Miyani	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Cannanore	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Edakkad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Mahe	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 15:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:00	Badagara	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:00	Payyoli	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	Quilandi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	Beypore	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:30	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:45	Wadgam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:45	Kambhat	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:45	Kavi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:15	Bacaad	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:15	Aantaara	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Tanur	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Ponnani	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:15	Ankhor	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 13:45	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:15	Araft	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:15	Salalah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:15	Al Kathir	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:15	Sudh	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:15	Al Ashkharah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:45	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:45	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:45	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 13:45	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 13:45	'Urf	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 13:45	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 13:45	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 13:45	Maghilah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 13:30	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:30	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 15:45	Cal Marthal	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 13:30	Al Kalban	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 20:45	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 20:45	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:30	Tabut	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:30	Hayrut	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:30	Nishtun	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:30	Mahuva	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:00	Karwar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:00	Advota	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:00	Chaudi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:00	Majali	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:15	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:00	Madayipara	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:00	Bargaal	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Gorser	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:00	Marmagao	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:00	Agacaim	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:00	Madgaon	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:00	Bekal	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:00	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:45	Itab	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:30	Abd Allah Gharib	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:30	Jarub	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 19:15	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 19:15	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 19:15	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 00:00	Dibab	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 00:00	Bimmah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 00:00	Fins	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 15:15	Shil	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:15	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:15	Kodinar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 15:30	Qashlu	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 15:30	Qadub	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 15:30	Hadiboh	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:15	Dagah Gudud	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:45	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:45	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:15	Mangrol	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:30	Mulaax Beyle	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 17:30	Ra's ar Ru'ays	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Veraval	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Somnath	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:30	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:30	Chorwad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:45	Damka	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:45	Surat	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:45	Jalalpur	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:45	Mahuver	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:30	Khormaksar	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:30	Kraytar	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:30	'Adan	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:00	Nalasopara	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:00	Agashi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:00	Dongri	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:00	Vasai	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 16:45	'Ag	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:30	Rohisa	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:30	Jafarabad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Terekhol	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Chopdem	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Anjuna	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:30	Udipi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 14:30	Mulki	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Chervattur	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.