Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

03 Nov 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	155 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (03 Nov 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	155 km/h	0.2 m	148 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	513 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

513 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India, Maldives, Sri Lanka	3,188,336	+
	India	2,177,258
	Maldives	42,020
	Sri Lanka	969,058

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	220	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	170	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	118	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Suthri, India. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2019 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	03 Nov 2019 18:45	Suthri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:30	Gadechi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:30	Okha	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:30	Aramda	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 18:45	Mandvi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 18:45	Bhadia	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 23:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 23:00	Jodiya	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 18:45	Navinal	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:00	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 23:30	Jambura	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 20:45	Lamba	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 20:45	Miyani	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Sika	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:15	Porbandar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Adodar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Ratia	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Gorser	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Jafarabad	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 19:15	Shil	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 19:00	Mangrol	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Rohisa	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Mahuva	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 20:45	Chorwad	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:30	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:30	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Dharabandar	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Veraval	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Somnath	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:30	Dahej	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:30	Harinagar	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Ghogha	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 20:00	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 22:45	Kotada	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 21:15	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Kodinar	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 22:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 22:00	Delvada	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 22:00	Nawabandar	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.