Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico
09 Aug 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (09 Aug 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.7 m 192 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 1071 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico656 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico65,986 
50-100 mmMexico24,156,927 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 631 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
09 Aug 2020 12:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 12:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 14:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 18:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 17:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 16:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 16:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 16:00 Molino Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 16:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:15 Austwell United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 17:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 14:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 14:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 16:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 18:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 North Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Doyle United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Portland United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Gregory United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 15:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 14:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 16:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 17:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 14:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 14:30 Estes United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 14:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 14:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 17:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 17:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1