Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Tonga
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Dec 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 101 km/h 0.2 m 181 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTonga950 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 191 -
- - - - - Tonga
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands, Wallis and Futuna13,207
+
Solomon Islands244 
Wallis and Futuna12,963 
50-100 mmTuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Tonga531,312
+
Tuvalu8,008 
Solomon Islands2,599 
Fiji484,661 
Wallis and Futuna2,598 
Vanuatu33,181 
Tonga265 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 1613 10 thousand
- - - - Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Lao, Fiji. This height is estimated for 13 Dec 2020 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Dec 2020 22:00 Lao Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:00 Vangai Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:00 Nawi Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:00 Nailou Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:00 Napuka Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Meriver Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Lamap Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Naindi Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Korosi Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Naweni Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Viani Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Paola New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Touho New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:45 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:45 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:45 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:45 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 21:45 Malake Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 21:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 21:30 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 19:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 19:45 Thavanga Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 19:45 Ndaria Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 19:45 Rave-rave Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 19:45 Ndawara Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Nailanga Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Sorokoba Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Ba Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Mamie New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Waho New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Houailou New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 19:15 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 19:15 Balaide New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 19:15 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Moneo New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Naingani Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Navuti Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Tavua Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Togowere Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 20:30 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 20:30 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 20:30 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 20:30 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Korovou Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Naua Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 19:00 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 19:00 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 19:00 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 19:00 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 19:00 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:00 Abnetare Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:00 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:00 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Canala New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Kouroumanpe Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 22:45 Mangarisu Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Sisili Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 00:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Tawake Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Nukusa Fiji  0.1