Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (17 May 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.7 m 194 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 3.7 m 920 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 2.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives2,133,497
+
Iran12,672 
Afghanistan258,547 
Pakistan1,372,807 
India443,616 
Maldives45,853 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 May 2021 06:00 187 -
- - - - - Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia3,158,125 
250-500 mmIndia29,868,842 
100-250 mmIndia14,193,064 
50-100 mmPakistan, India14,003,742
+
Pakistan369,107 
India13,634,634 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 May 2021 06:00 712 47.2 million
- - Pakistan, India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Asarsa, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 May 2021 06:00 Asarsa India  0.7
17 May 2021 06:00 Harinagar India  0.7
17 May 2021 06:00 Dahej India  0.7
17 May 2021 06:00 Tankari India  0.7
17 May 2021 06:00 Muler India  0.7
17 May 2021 06:00 Ghogha India  0.7
17 May 2021 05:00 Hansot India  0.7
17 May 2021 06:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Mahuva India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Kotada India  0.6
17 May 2021 05:15 Bhagva India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Daman India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Udvada India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Valsad India  0.6
17 May 2021 04:15 Damka India  0.6
17 May 2021 04:15 Olpad India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Maroli India  0.6
17 May 2021 05:15 Jafarabad India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Dharasana India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Bilimora India  0.6
17 May 2021 03:15 Surat India  0.6
17 May 2021 03:15 Jalalpur India  0.6
17 May 2021 03:15 Mahuver India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Wadgam India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Bordi India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Umbargam India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Nausari India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Gholvad India  0.6
17 May 2021 05:45 Rohisa India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Kambhat India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Dharabandar India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Navsari India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Malyan India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Sakhare India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Tarapur India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Boisar India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Delvada India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Nawabandar India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Shirgaon India  0.5
17 May 2021 06:00 Palghar India  0.5
17 May 2021 06:00 Mahim India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:00 Dongri India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:00 Malad India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:00 Mumbai India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.5
17 May 2021 06:00 Kavi India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:45 Agashi India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:15 Nalasopara India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:15 Vasai India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:00 Asumumbay India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:00 Trombay India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:30 Navghar India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:00 Uran India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:00 Diva India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:00 Taloje India  0.5
17 May 2021 06:00 Kotra Nes India  0.5
17 May 2021 06:00 Dangarvadi India  0.5
17 May 2021 06:00 Sarod India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:45 Mandve India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:30 Alibag India  0.5
17 May 2021 03:00 Revadanda India  0.5
15 May 2021 02:45 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.5
15 May 2021 02:45 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.5
17 May 2021 03:45 Murud India  0.5
17 May 2021 03:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.5
16 May 2021 23:45 Srivardhan India  0.5
16 May 2021 23:45 Bankot India  0.5
16 May 2021 23:45 Kelshi India  0.5
17 May 2021 06:00 Kodinar India  0.5
16 May 2021 21:15 Guhagar India  0.5
16 May 2021 21:15 Anjanwel India  0.5
16 May 2021 21:15 Boria India  0.5
15 May 2021 03:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.5
15 May 2021 03:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.5
15 May 2021 18:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Karwar India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Belekeri India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Ankola India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Gokarn India  0.4
17 May 2021 06:00 Lodhwa India  0.4
16 May 2021 21:00 Jaigarh India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Marmagao India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Panaji India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Agacaim India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Madgaon India  0.4
14 May 2021 23:45 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 21:00 Mirya India  0.4
16 May 2021 02:15 Kumta India  0.4
17 May 2021 06:00 Sutrapada India  0.4
16 May 2021 13:00 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 13:00 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 13:00 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 13:00 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 15:15 Ratnagiri India  0.4
16 May 2021 15:15 Purangad India  0.4
16 May 2021 15:15 Purnagad India  0.4
16 May 2021 15:15 Adiura India  0.4
16 May 2021 02:45 Majali India  0.4
17 May 2021 06:00 Veraval India  0.4
17 May 2021 06:00 Somnath India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:15 Advota India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:15 Chaudi India  0.4
16 May 2021 02:15 Honavar India  0.4
16 May 2021 05:30 Vengurla India  0.4
16 May 2021 05:30 Terekhol India  0.4
16 May 2021 02:30 Manki India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:45 Shirali India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:45 Bhatkal India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:45 Bainduru India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:45 Chittadi India  0.4
16 May 2021 08:45 Chopdem India  0.4
16 May 2021 08:45 Anjuna India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:45 Mavalli India  0.4
14 May 2021 14:15 New Kandla India  0.4
14 May 2021 14:15 Navlakhi India  0.4
16 May 2021 13:30 Devgarh India  0.4
16 May 2021 13:30 Achra India  0.4
16 May 2021 14:45 Vijayadurg India  0.3
16 May 2021 13:30 Pural India  0.3
16 May 2021 13:30 Malvan India  0.3
17 May 2021 06:00 Chorwad India  0.3
15 May 2021 21:45 Kundapura India  0.3
14 May 2021 14:15 Jodiya India  0.3
14 May 2021 14:15 Tuna India  0.3
15 May 2021 21:45 Udipi India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:15 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.3
14 May 2021 16:45 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.3
15 May 2021 00:15 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.3
14 May 2021 13:30 Jambura India  0.3
14 May 2021 18:15 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.3
14 May 2021 18:15 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.3
14 May 2021 11:45 Akri India  0.3
17 May 2021 04:45 Mangrol India  0.3
14 May 2021 13:15 Edakkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Dharmadam India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Tellicherry India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Mahe India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Badagara India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Payyoli India  0.2
15 May 2021 00:30 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Madayipara India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Madayi India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Kannapuram India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Chirakkal India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Valapattanam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Azhikkal India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Cannanore India  0.2
15 May 2021 11:30 Mulki India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
17 May 2021 05:00 Shil India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:30 Jhankhar India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:30 Sika India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Nileshwar India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Chervattur India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:00 Mangaluru India  0.2
15 May 2021 00:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
15 May 2021 00:45 Kumbla India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Quilandi India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Talakkolattur India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:00 Kozhikode India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Tirurangadi India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Tanur India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:30 Beypore India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:30 Chaliyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 15:30 Thoothukkudi India  0.2
14 May 2021 15:30 Melmandai India  0.2
14 May 2021 15:30 Vembar India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:00 Kasaragod India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:15 Bekal India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:45 Salaya India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Ponnani India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Veliyangod India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:00 Mundra India  0.2
15 May 2021 02:00 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
15 May 2021 02:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2021 06:00 Gorser India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:45 Aramda India  0.2
15 May 2021 12:15 Atirampattinam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Kadikkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Suthri India  0.2
15 May 2021 12:15 Kodigeri India  0.2
15 May 2021 12:15 Vedaranyam India  0.2
15 May 2021 12:15 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:45 Mattancheri India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:45 Turavur India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Manattala India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Chavakkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Guruvayur India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Chaughat India  0.2
17 May 2021 06:00 Ratia India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:00 Navinal India  0.2
15 May 2021 06:00 Talikkulam India  0.2
15 May 2021 06:00 Pappinivatti India  0.2
17 May 2021 04:45 Gadechi India  0.2
17 May 2021 04:45 Okha India  0.2
15 May 2021 12:15 Kattumavadi India  0.2
15 May 2021 02:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
14 May 2021 17:00 Mandvi India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:00 Bhadia India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:00 Cochin India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Nizampatam India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Kottapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 11:00 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
15 May 2021 12:15 Manamelkudi India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Chakicherla India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 14:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 14:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Tiruchendur India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Sikkal India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Kilakarai India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Muttupettai India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Panalkkulam India  0.1
14 May 2021 13:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Irumeni India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Alleppey India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
14 May 2021 17:00 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Malan Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 13:15 Keti Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Kakinada India  0.1
14 May 2021 14:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Pentakota India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Ullapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Pakala India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Vanak Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 10:15 Dwarka India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:15 Brar Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 09:00 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 09:00 Miski Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 09:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 19:45 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 19:45 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Gurdim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Guraim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Dorri Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Machan Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Konarak Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 08:45 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Bayahi Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 13:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 11:45 Kodur India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Peddapatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 09:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 09:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 11:15 Ghalat Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 11:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Gollapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 09:45 Madhi India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Kereti Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 05:45 Haripad India  0.1
14 May 2021 14:45 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 10:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 10:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 10:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 10:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 11:30 Govundlapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:00 Vijayapati India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:00 Periathullay India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Akara Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1