Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

16 May 2021 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	180 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	151 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.0 m (18 May 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	151 km/h	2.0 m	380 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	122 km/h	3.1 m	1400 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

Up to 180 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	175,551
Tropical Storm	India, Pakistan	28,906,659	+
	India	28,884,874
	Pakistan	21,784

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
6	16 May 2021 00:00	202	180 thousand		-	-	-	-	India, Pakistan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,197,264
100-250 mm	India, Pakistan	33,876,284	+
	India	33,743,363
	Pakistan	132,921
50-100 mm	India, Pakistan	63,047,825	+
	India	62,859,415
	Pakistan	188,409

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	345	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	332	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 12:00	460	140 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	869	Few people		-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 12:00	352	620 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
6	16 May 2021 00:00	487	35.1 million			-	-	-	India, Pakistan

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.0m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 09:00	Wadgam	India	2.0
	18 May 2021 09:00	Kambhat	India	2.0
	18 May 2021 08:30	Kavi	India	2.0
	18 May 2021 08:30	Sarod	India	2.0
	18 May 2021 02:00	Tankari	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 01:15	Asarsa	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 01:30	Ghogha	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 01:00	Harinagar	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 21:15	Mahuva	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 21:15	Kotada	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 01:00	Dahej	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 21:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 00:45	Muler	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 20:15	Jafarabad	India	1.7
	18 May 2021 00:15	Hansot	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 20:00	Dharabandar	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 20:00	Rohisa	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 20:00	Delvada	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 20:00	Nawabandar	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Bhagva	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 22:45	Damka	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 22:45	Olpad	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 19:30	Kotra Nes	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:30	Dangarvadi	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:30	Kodinar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 23:15	Surat	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 23:15	Jalalpur	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 23:15	Mahuver	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 23:30	Nausari	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 23:30	Navsari	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 23:30	Lodhwa	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 23:30	Veraval	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 23:30	Somnath	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 23:30	Sutrapada	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 20:00	Dharasana	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 20:00	Valsad	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 20:00	Udvada	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 23:30	Bilimora	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 20:15	Daman	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 22:15	Maroli	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 20:15	Umbargam	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 20:15	Bordi	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 21:30	Gholvad	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 19:45	Malyan	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 23:45	Chorwad	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 21:45	Sakhare	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 21:45	Tarapur	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 21:45	Boisar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 19:15	Shirgaon	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 19:15	Palghar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 19:15	Mahim	India	0.8
	16 May 2021 08:00	Vengurla	India	0.8
	16 May 2021 08:00	Terekhol	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Agashi	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 20:00	Nalasopara	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:00	Dongri	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:00	Vasai	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 07:00	Marmagao	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 07:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 07:00	Panaji	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 07:00	Agacaim	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 07:00	Madgaon	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 15:45	Navghar	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 08:00	Chopdem	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 08:00	Anjuna	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:00	Malad	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Karwar	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Belekeri	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Ankola	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Gokarn	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:00	Mumbai	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:00	Asumumbay	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:00	Uran	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:00	Trombay	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:00	Diva	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:00	Taloje	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:30	Mangrol	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 04:15	Advota	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 04:15	Chaudi	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 04:15	Majali	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 16:30	Mandve	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Kumta	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 03:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Honavar	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Manki	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 07:45	Malvan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:45	Alibag	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:45	Revadanda	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 00:45	Shil	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:30	Bankot	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:30	Kelshi	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 10:15	Devgarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 10:15	Achra	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:00	Mavalli	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:45	Srivardhan	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:15	Murud	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:15	Guhagar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:15	Anjanwel	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:15	Shirali	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:15	Bhatkal	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:30	Boria	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 09:45	Vijayadurg	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 09:45	Pural	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:15	Bainduru	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:30	Chittadi	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:00	Jaigarh	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 01:15	Mirya	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 01:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 10:30	Adiura	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 21:15	Purnagad	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Kundapura	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 21:00	Purangad	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 11:30	Jodiya	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:45	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:45	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:45	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:45	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	18 May 2021 07:30	Chudeswar	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 07:30	Salaya	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 01:15	Gorser	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 11:45	Jambura	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 18:30	New Kandla	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 18:30	Navlakhi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 03:00	Udipi	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 03:00	Gadechi	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 03:00	Okha	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 03:00	Aramda	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 01:30	Ratia	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 18:15	Tuna	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 02:45	Mulki	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.2
	16 May 2021 02:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 02:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 02:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 09:15	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 09:15	Sika	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 23:15	Adodar	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 02:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 02:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 23:30	Porbandar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:45	Mundra	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 23:15	Miyani	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 02:15	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:45	Navinal	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 23:15	Lamba	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:15	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	16 May 2021 10:15	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 10:15	Ormara	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:00	Chervattur	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Madayipara	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Madayi	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Cannanore	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Edakkad	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Mahe	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Badagara	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:45	Bhadia	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 11:45	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 11:45	Melmandai	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 11:45	Vembar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 07:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:15	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 10:45	Kayalpatnam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:15	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:45	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 02:15	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 02:15	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 02:15	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 05:30	Payyoli	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:30	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 02:15	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:30	Bhogat	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:00	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:00	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:00	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:45	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:00	Mandvi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:00	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:00	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 17:15	Tiruchendur	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:45	Madhi	India	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
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