Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Jul 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.2 m 36 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

148 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 29 Jun 2021 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 29 Jun 2021 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 18 29 Jun 2021 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 19 29 Jun 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 30 Jun 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 30 Jun 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 30 Jun 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico181,313 
50-100 mmMexico22,679,945 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 205 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 183 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 193 50 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 222 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 181 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 177 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 103 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 156 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 29 Jun 2021 00:00 142 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 17 29 Jun 2021 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 29 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 29 Jun 2021 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 20 30 Jun 2021 00:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 30 Jun 2021 06:00 74 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 22 30 Jun 2021 12:00 350 180 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Jul 2021 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 12:45 Rockport United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 12:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 12:45 Copano Village United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 12:45 Fulton United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 12:45 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 12:45 Lamar United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 19:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 19:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 01:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 01:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 05:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 00:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 07:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 14:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 23:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 20:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 20:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 14:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 14:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 14:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 22:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 02:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 15:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 15:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 22:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 22:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 22:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 12:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 12:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 06:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 22:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 03:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 03:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 01:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 01:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 13:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 17:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 03:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 22:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 22:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 04:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 05:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1