Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Aug 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 108 km/h 0.4 m 148 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.4 m 656 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

151 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Jul 2021 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Aug 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Aug 2021 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Aug 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Aug 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Aug 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Aug 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Aug 2021 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Aug 2021 18:00 115 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico11,279 
50-100 mmMexico772,018 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Jul 2021 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Aug 2021 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 01 Aug 2021 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Aug 2021 12:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Aug 2021 18:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Aug 2021 00:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Aug 2021 06:00 298 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Aug 2021 12:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Aug 2021 18:00 539 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Aug 2021 10:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Aug 2021 10:30 San Jose Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 10:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 21:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Mulege Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Loreto Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Ligui Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Tripui Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Liliba Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 22:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 22:00 La Paz Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 22:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 05:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 12:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 00:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 16:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 16:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 07:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 07:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 21:45 Chamela Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 05:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1