Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
27 Jan 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (27 Jan 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.2 m 370 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

227 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 543 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Manica, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 27 Jan 2022 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Jan 2022 23:15 Manica Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 23:15 Beira Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 23:15 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 23:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 23:15 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 23:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 23:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 23:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 23:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 22:15 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 22:15 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 22:00 Tama Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:15 Amado Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:15 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tolanaro Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Marokoky Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Sainte-Luce Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Anompaka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Bevoay Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Maromandia Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:15 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:15 Ingoane Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:15 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:00 Angoche Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:00 Namacoto Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:00 Namuali Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:00 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:30 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:30 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:30 Foque Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:30 Marere Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:15 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:15 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 21:15 Barra Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1