Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MORA-17
in Bangladesh, India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MORA-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 56 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (03 Jun 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 56 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 56 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

126 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 May 2017 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 May 2017 18:00 120 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 May 2017 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 May 2017 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 May 2017 12:00 117 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 May 2017 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 29 May 2017 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 May 2017 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 May 2017 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 May 2017 18:00 100 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 May 2017 00:00 100 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 30 May 2017 06:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 30 May 2017 12:00 56 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 May 2017 18:00 55 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 31 May 2017 00:00 56 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 31 May 2017 06:00 60 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 31 May 2017 12:00 57 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 May 2017 18:00 56 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 31 May 2017 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 28 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 29 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 29 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 30 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 30 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 31 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 31 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 31 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Bamnia, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2017 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 May 2017 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Lamchhi Prasad Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Kumira Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.5
03 Jun 2017 14:15 Dublat India  0.5
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.4
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.4
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.4
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.4
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.4
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.4
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.3
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.3
03 Jun 2017 18:00 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Damathat Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Zokali Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Budin Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
03 Jun 2017 13:30 Bijavbati India  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:00 Darein Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:00 Paung Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Magnama Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Napura Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Bethua Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Gahira Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 13:45 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 13:45 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:45 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 09:45 Rasalpur India  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 09:15 Chandipur India  0.2
03 Jun 2017 10:15 Kyatchaung Myanmar  0.2
03 Jun 2017 10:15 Yedwindaung Ywa Myanmar  0.2
03 Jun 2017 10:15 Sidongyaung Myanmar  0.2
03 Jun 2017 10:15 Wadawchaung Myanmar  0.2
03 Jun 2017 10:15 Kanmaw Myanmar  0.2
03 Jun 2017 10:15 Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 13:30 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 19:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:15 Medaw Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:15 Tawbya Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:15 Thedangyi Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:15 Leiktaung Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:15 Awebindat Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:15 Yengangyi Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 13:30 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:30 Thechaung Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:30 Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Kabingyaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Mayanchaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Mergui Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Kanbyin Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 10:15 Sakanthit Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:15 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Kyaukpya Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Kye Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 19:15 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 19:15 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 19:15 Dineshpur Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 19:15 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 19:15 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 09:30 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Ban Map Lat Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Samut Songkhram Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Ban Bang Bo Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Ban Rong Kung Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Ban Bang Khut Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Samut Sakhon Thailand  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:00 Tanzon Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:00 Kabyachaung Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:00 Taung-pi Ywa Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 13:00 Kalonga Ywa Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:45 Kyauktwin Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:45 Thayetchaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:45 Pyinbyugyi Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:45 Bok Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Dan Kao Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Ban Laem Thong Lang Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Laem Ngop Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Ban Nong Khan Song Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Ban Pak Khlong Bang Phra Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Ban Laem Hin Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Ban Ao Cho Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Ban Yai Liu Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Ban Noen Sung Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 18:00 Ban Pak Khlong Tha Luan Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 14:15 Wagaru Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 14:15 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 14:15 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 03:00 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 03:00 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.1
01 Jun 2017 03:00 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.1
03 Jun 2017 09:45 Taungkamet Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 09:45 Bokpyin Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 09:45 Sadeinchaungoya Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 09:45 Phuruk Tew Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 09:45 Atwin Bokpyin Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:15 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:15 Ase Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:15 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:15 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1

Calculation folder at this link