Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (06 Aug 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.5 m 121 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.6 m 629 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

151 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Aug 2021 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Aug 2021 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Aug 2021 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Aug 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Aug 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Aug 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico2,604 
50-100 mmMexico290,849 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 214 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 298 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Aug 2021 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Aug 2021 00:00 233 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 03 Aug 2021 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 03 Aug 2021 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Aug 2021 18:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 04 Aug 2021 00:00 190 3 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Aug 2021 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Aug 2021 03:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
05 Aug 2021 04:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 11:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 21:15 Cedros Mexico  0.3
04 Aug 2021 04:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 12:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 20:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 01:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 01:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 08:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 08:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 13:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 18:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 18:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 20:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 02:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 02:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 19:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 19:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 19:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 18:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 11:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 11:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 14:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 13:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 14:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 15:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 14:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 03:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 03:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 03:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 03:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 23:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 05:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 05:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 05:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 06:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 06:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 07:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 07:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2021 18:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 07:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 01:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 01:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 01:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 14:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 06:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 07:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 03:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 06:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 10:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 05:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 23:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Pizota Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 04:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 04:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1