Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (02 Aug 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.4 m 215 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.6 m 629 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Aug 2021 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Aug 2021 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Aug 2021 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Aug 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Aug 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Aug 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 04 Aug 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

629 mm

Up to 160 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico156,699 
50-100 mmMexico1,317,617 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 214 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 298 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Aug 2021 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Aug 2021 00:00 233 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 03 Aug 2021 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 03 Aug 2021 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Aug 2021 18:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 04 Aug 2021 00:00 121 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 11 04 Aug 2021 06:00 215 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Aug 2021 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico2,791 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.6
03 Aug 2021 08:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
02 Aug 2021 21:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
02 Aug 2021 15:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 03:15 Cedros Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 23:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 23:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 23:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 20:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 16:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 16:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 23:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 23:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 12:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 12:30 La Lima Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 10:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 10:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 16:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 00:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 00:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 00:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 00:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 00:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 00:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 19:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 19:00 Chamela Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 20:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:30 Barron Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 03:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 20:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 16:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 13:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 20:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 05:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 08:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 08:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 20:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 09:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 20:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 14:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 16:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 16:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 16:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 15:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 06:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 11:15 Cunano Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 03:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 03:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 11:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 23:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 06:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Corrales Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Ipala Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 20:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 05:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 03:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 20:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 20:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1